HomeReal EstateNorth Little Rock, AR

North Little Rock, AR

โš–๏ธ Balanced Market
Median Price
$161,534
โ†— 0.5% YoY
Median Rent
$950/mo
Cap: 7.1%
P/R Ratio
13.2x
Nat'l: 18x
Days on Market
35
days avg
Ocity Verdict
โœ… STRONG BUY

๐Ÿ“Š Fundamental Scores

Risk Grade: A
50
Affordability
50
Investor Yield
60
Market Temp
51
Boomtown Score

๐ŸŽฏ The Bottom Line

North Little Rock presents a stable buy opportunity with balanced affordability and moderate appreciation. The market favors long-term investors seeking cash flow over rapid growth.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Price History

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) ยท Updated monthly
$162K$156K
Mar 23Aug 24Jan 26
Current
$162K
3Y Change
+3.0%
3Y Peak
$162K

๐Ÿ“Š Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List
97.5%
Room to negotiate
Price Drops
19%
Firm pricing
Months of Supply
5.5
Balanced
Gone in 2 Weeks
13%
Time to decide
Homes Sold
47
New Listings
48
Active Inventory
259
Pending Sales
68

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Analysis

Market Cycle

The market is in a stable, balanced phase with a 0.5% YoY price change indicating minimal volatility. This is not a boom or bust scenario but a steady environment for accumulation. The 35 DOM suggests properties move at a reasonable pace without extreme urgency, allowing for due diligence.

Supply & Demand

Supply is moderate with 5.5 months of inventory, leaning slightly toward a buyer's market but not oversaturated. The inventory of 259 homes provides adequate selection. Demand is consistent, evidenced by a 97.5% sale-to-list ratio, showing buyers are paying close to asking price, which signals underlying market strength.

Pricing Power

Sellers have limited pricing power with 18.5% of listings seeing price drops. This indicates that overpriced homes will sit, but well-priced inventory sells efficiently. The P/R of 13.2x is a healthy metric for rental investors, suggesting that purchase prices are not overly inflated relative to rental income potential.

North Little Rock, AR Housing Market Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ North Little Rock Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$162K2027$170Kโ–ฒ 5.1%2028$174Kโ–ฒ 7.8%20232024Now
$183K$149K
Current
$162K
2026
Projected
$170K
โ†‘ 5.1% by 2027
Projected
$174K
โ†‘ 7.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.1%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.64
โ–ผ

North Little Rock, AR Housing Market Forecast 2026โ€“2028

When evaluating the North Little Rock housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data paints a picture of stability rather than explosive growth. The current median home price sits at $161,534, a figure that remains highly accessible compared to national norms. With a price-to-rent ratio of just 13.2xโ€”well below the national average of 18xโ€”the math strongly favors buying over renting. This affordability anchor, combined with a modest YoY price change of 0.5%, suggests a market that won't see wild swings but should appreciate steadily. The 5-year CAGR of 4.2% indicates a healthy, sustainable trajectory that aligns with local economic fundamentals rather than speculative fever.

For those asking will North Little Rock home prices drop, the indicators point toward continued resilience. The market temperature of 60/100 and an A risk grade signal a balanced environment where inventory moves at a reasonable 35 days on market. Key local factors supporting this stability include the region's diversified economy anchored by healthcare, logistics, and government sectors, alongside ongoing downtown revitalization efforts. Affordability remains a major draw, especially as remote work continues to attract buyers from pricier markets. Looking toward North Little Rock real estate North Little Rock 2027, expect modest appreciation driven by population growth and limited new construction, though rising interest rates could temper some demand. The five-year price range of $131,221 โ€“ $161,831 demonstrates remarkable consistency, reinforcing that this isn't a boom-bust market but rather one built on fundamentals.

Disclaimer: This forecast is a statistical projection based on historical price trends and should not be considered financial advice. Actual market outcomes may vary due to economic conditions, interest rates, local regulations, and other factors.

๐Ÿ  Rent vs Buy Analysis

Monthly Costs

With a median price of $161,534 and rent at $950/mo, the Price-to-Rent ratio is 13.2x. This favors buying over renting long-term. Assuming a standard down payment and mortgage, monthly carrying costs likely align with or slightly exceed rent, but equity build-up and tax benefits tilt the financial advantage toward ownership.

5-Year View

At a 0.5% YoY appreciation rate, values will grow slowly but steadily. Over 5 years, the asset will appreciate while the mortgage balance decreases, compounding net worth. Rent growth is likely to outpace home price growth in this stable market, improving the cash flow position of a purchased property over time.

When to Rent

  • Short-term stay (under 3 years) expected
  • Need for high mobility or job uncertainty
  • Capital is limited for down payment and closing costs

When to Buy

  • Long-term hold strategy (5+ years)
  • Desire to leverage low interest rates for equity growth
  • Intent to house hack or generate rental income

๐Ÿงฎ Can You Afford North Little Rock? Interactive Calculator

Income Reality Check

Can you actually afford North Little Rock?

$
20% ($32,307)
6.5%
Monthly Gross Income$6,667
Principal & Interest$817
Property Tax (0.62% AR)$83
Insurance$67
Total PITI$967
Cost Burden: 14.5% of Income

Great! At 14.5%, this mortgage falls within healthy financial limits. You have strong purchasing power in North Little Rock.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Investment Thesis

Cash Flow

The P/R of 13.2x is the cornerstone of this investment. A purchase price of $161,534 with rent at $950/mo offers a solid gross yield. After accounting for taxes, insurance, maintenance, and vacancy (approx. 35-40% of rent), the net operating income supports a positive cash flow scenario, especially if financed with a conventional loan.

House Hacking

This market is ideal for house hacking. The affordable entry point of $161,534 allows an investor to live in one unit while renting out others or spare rooms. The $950/mo market rent can offset a significant portion of the mortgage, reducing living expenses and accelerating wealth building through forced appreciation and mortgage paydown.

Target Investor

The ideal investor is a long-term buy-and-hold player seeking stability over speculation. With a Risk Score of A, this market suits those with a moderate risk tolerance looking to build a portfolio of cash-flowing assets. It is less suitable for flippers due to the slow 0.5% YoY appreciation.

๐Ÿฆ For Investors
See Full Investment Analysis โ€” ROI Projections, Cap Rate, Cash Flow โ†’
โ†’

๐Ÿ˜๏ธ House Hacking Calculator Interactive Calculator

House Hacking CalculatorOwner-Occupied Multi-Fam

$
%
$
%
%
Net Monthly Cash Flow
$293/mo
Living free + cash flow!
Cash on Cash
27.2%
Total PITI (Mortgage)
-$1,332
Gross Rent (2 units)
+$1,900
Vacancy & Expenses
-$276
Total Capital Needed$12,923

๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Neighborhood Breakdown

Entry-Level

Properties in the $120k-$150k range are highly competitive for investors. These homes likely require some renovation but offer the highest rental yields. The 18.5% price drop rate suggests that entry-level sellers may be over-ambitious, creating negotiation opportunities for buyers with cash or strong financing.

Mid-Range

The median price of $161,534 represents the core of the market. These homes attract both owner-occupants and investors. With a 35 DOM, these properties move relatively quickly. The 97.5% sale-to-list ratio is most applicable here, indicating that well-maintained homes in this bracket sell near asking price.

Premium

homes priced above $200k likely see longer DOM and higher price adjustment frequency. While the rental yield drops below the market average of 13.2x, these properties may appeal to higher-income tenants. However, the 0.5% YoY growth suggests limited short-term appreciation upside for luxury flips.

โš ๏ธ Risk Factors

Slow Appreciation
0.5% YoY indicates a low-growth environment. Investors relying solely on market appreciation for returns will see minimal gains; cash flow is essential.
Price Sensitivity
18.5% of listings dropping price suggests buyers are price-sensitive. Overpaying can immediately negate cash flow potential in this tight-margin market.