Central Falls
Investment Analysis

Central Falls, RI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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57
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.4%
Gross Yield
4.0%
P/R Ratio
18.1x
YoY Growth
+0.9%
Median Home Price
$410,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,362/mo
Median Income
$45,921
Population
22,481

Investment Breakdown

46
Value Score
59
Growth Score
84
Safety Score
49
Afford Score

Central Falls has a price-to-rent ratio of 18.1x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,362
Annual Gross $16,344

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$513
Insurance (~0.5%) -$171
Maintenance (~1%) -$342
Est. Net Cash Flow $337/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Central Falls Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$371K2027$406Kโ–ฒ 9.4%2028$429Kโ–ฒ 15.6%20232024Now
$451K$292K
Current
$410K
2026
Projected
$406K
โ†‘ 9.4% by 2027
Projected
$429K
โ†‘ 15.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

Looking at the Central Falls housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The market has already seen a remarkable 5-year price change of 48.8%, pushing the median price to $371,484 and resulting in a 5-year CAGR of 8.1%. With the Price-to-Rent Ratio at 20.2xโ€”above the national average of 18xโ€”the market is signaling that renting is currently the more financially prudent option, as indicated by the "RENT" verdict. The market temperature of 60/100 reflects a balanced but cooling environment, where the rapid appreciation of the past five years is likely to moderate.

When asking will Central Falls home prices drop, the local economic fundamentals point toward modest stability rather than a sharp decline. Central Falls' affordability relative to the broader Providence metro area continues to attract buyers, but the high price-to-rent ratio limits how much further prices can climb without outpacing local incomes. The Days on Market of 35 indicates homes are still selling at a reasonable pace, suggesting sustained demand despite the slower YoY price change of 0.8%. Growth in the local service economy and ongoing urban revitalization efforts will support the housing base, but high interest rates and affordability constraints will likely prevent the double-digit gains seen previously. For those tracking Central Falls real estate Central Falls 2027, the outlook is one of single-digit appreciation.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.5%
5yr CAGR
+7.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.6%

Healthcare

82
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 102.8%
Months Supply 7.5
Price Drops 33%
Gone in 2 Wks 25%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Central Falls.

Total ROI
-105%
on $82,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$85,894
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,869
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY296kY3104kY4112kY5120k
Appreciation
$18,998
Cash Flow
-$104,892
Final Equity
$120,219

* Estimates based on 0.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Central Falls

Property

Purchase Price$410,000
Monthly Rent$1,362
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,656
Monthly Cash Flow
-$19,871/ year
-24.2%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,362
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,073
โˆ’ Property Tax$410
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$342
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$68
= Net Cash Flow-$1,656

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$82,000
Loan Amount
$328,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,018
Gross Yield
4.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026