Chattanooga
Investment Analysis

Chattanooga, TN
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
40
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.5%
Gross Yield
4.2%
P/R Ratio
21.2x
YoY Growth
-1.1%
Median Home Price
$311,300
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,085/mo
Median Income
$62,547
Population
187,023

Investment Breakdown

36
Value Score
39
Growth Score
33
Safety Score
57
Afford Score

Chattanooga has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.2x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,085
Annual Gross $13,020

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$389
Insurance (~0.5%) -$130
Maintenance (~1%) -$259
Est. Net Cash Flow $307/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Chattanooga Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$312K2027$346K 10.9%2028$361K 15.8%20232024Now
$380K$278K
Current
$311K
2026
Projected
$346K
10.9% by 2027
Projected
$361K
15.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.4%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.80

Looking at the Chattanooga housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. After a strong 38.1% run-up over the past five years, the recent YoY price change of -1.3% indicates the market is finding a new equilibrium. With a price-to-rent ratio of 22.5x—significantly above the national average of 18x—buying remains expensive relative to leasing, which supports the current "RENT" verdict. The market temperature of 62/100 and a 45-day average days on market signal a balanced, albeit slower, pace. This cooling is a natural correction following the pandemic-era boom, and affordability constraints are now a key factor shaping buyer behavior.

Will Chattanooga home prices drop significantly? Likely not. The city’s "A" risk grade and 5-year CAGR of 6.6% point to a resilient economic foundation. Chattanooga real estate Chattanooga 2027 will be influenced by local job growth in advanced manufacturing and logistics, alongside its appeal to remote workers seeking outdoor amenities. However, the current median home price of $312,218 has stretched affordability for many locals, which will cap price appreciation. While the rent-to-price ratio makes buying less attractive now, steady in-migration should support housing demand, preventing a sharp downturn.

For the 2026-2028 period, expect moderate price stability with slight appreciation as the market digests recent gains. The transition from a seller’s to a more balanced market means buyers will have more leverage, but sellers won’t face a collapse. The interplay between local economic expansion and affordability challenges will define the next phase. Overall, this forecast suggests a healthy normalization for Chattanooga real estate, where sustainable growth replaces the volatility of recent years.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+6.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.5%

Healthcare

67
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Chattanooga.

Total ROI
-123%
on $62,260 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$76,470
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,371
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y165kY268kY370kY474kY577k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$76,470
Final Equity
$76,854

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Chattanooga

Property

Purchase Price$311,300
Monthly Rent$1,085
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,239
Monthly Cash Flow
-$14,869/ year
-23.9%
Cash-on-Cash
1.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,085
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,574
− Property Tax$311
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$259
− Vacancy Loss$54
= Net Cash Flow-$1,239

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$62,260
Loan Amount
$249,040
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,324
Gross Yield
4.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026