Daly City
Investment Analysis

Daly City, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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29
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.5%
Gross Yield
2.5%
P/R Ratio
31.5x
YoY Growth
-3.0%
Median Home Price
$1,125,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,304/mo
Median Income
$104,079
Population
99,838

Investment Breakdown

6
Value Score
20
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
32
Afford Score

Daly City has a price-to-rent ratio of 31.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,304
Annual Gross $27,648

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,406
Insurance (~0.5%) -$469
Maintenance (~1%) -$938
Est. Net Cash Flow -$509/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Daly City Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
โžก๏ธ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$1M2027$1Mโ–ผ 0.3%2028$1Mโ–ผ 0.8%20232024Now
$1M$1M
Current
$1M
2026
Projected
$1M
โ†“ 0.3% by 2027
Projected
$1M
โ†“ 0.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+0.7%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.06
โ–ผ

For those evaluating a Daly City housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than significant growth. With a current median home price of $1,080,117 and a recent YoY price change of -1.9%, the market is showing signs of cooling after years of intense appreciation. The 5-year CAGR of just 0.8% indicates that long-term growth has already been decelerating, a trend likely to persist as affordability constraints bite. The high price-to-rent ratio of 34.7xโ€”far above the national average of 18xโ€”strongly signals that the financial math favors renting over buying in the short term, a key factor for potential residents and investors weighing the "Buy/Rent Verdict" of RENT.

When asking will Daly City home prices drop significantly, local economic factors provide a nuanced answer. While the Bay Area's tech-driven economy remains a powerful anchor, Daly City's relative affordability compared to San Francisco makes it a continued entry point for buyers, which should prevent a steep collapse. However, the market temperature of 60/100 and a risk grade of B suggest a balanced but cautious environment. Days on market at 35 indicate homes are still moving, but without the frenzy of previous years. The tight price range over the last five years ($1,035,168 โ€“ $1,196,526) demonstrates a resilient floor, but upside may be limited by broader affordability pressures.

Looking ahead to Daly City real estate Daly City 2027, we anticipate a sideways to modestly appreciating market. The forecast hinges on the stability of the regional job market and interest rate trends; a significant rate drop could reignite demand, while persistent high borrowing costs will keep the market in a holding pattern. Daly City's proximity to major employment hubs and its role as a more accessible coastal community will support demand, but the extreme price-to-rent ratio caps near-term investment appeal. For the 2026-2028 period, expect price growth to hover near inflation, with the market favoring patient buyers and continued strength in the rental sector.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+0.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Low Inventory
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 103.0%
Months Supply 1.3
Price Drops 7%
Gone in 2 Wks 47%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Daly City.

Total ROI
-168%
on $225,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$377,159
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$6,491
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1234kY2244kY3255kY4266kY5278k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$377,159
Final Equity
$277,741

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Daly City

Property

Purchase Price$1,125,000
Monthly Rent$2,304
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$5,687
Monthly Cash Flow
-$68,248/ year
-30.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,304
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$5,689
โˆ’ Property Tax$1,125
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$938
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$115
= Net Cash Flow-$5,687

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$225,000
Loan Amount
$900,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$7,991
Gross Yield
2.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026