Gillette
Investment Analysis

Gillette, WY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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38
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
25.0x
YoY Growth
-3.6%
Median Home Price
$359,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$921/mo
Median Income
$90,699
Population
33,278

Investment Breakdown

25
Value Score
14
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
53
Afford Score

Gillette has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.0x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $921
Annual Gross $11,052

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$450
Insurance (~0.5%) -$150
Maintenance (~1%) -$300
Est. Net Cash Flow $21/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gillette Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$321K2027$356Kโ–ฒ 11.0%2028$371Kโ–ฒ 15.7%20232024Now
$390K$282K
Current
$360K
2026
Projected
$356K
โ†‘ 11.0% by 2027
Projected
$371K
โ†‘ 15.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.9%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.93
โ–ผ

Looking at the Gillette housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than significant growth. The recent -5.6% YoY price change indicates a cooling phase, pulling back from a 5-year gain of 22.0%. With a price-to-rent ratio of 25.8x, well above the national average of 18x, buying remains considerably more expensive than renting, which will likely cap demand from local residents. The market temperature of 63/100 reflects a balanced but cautious environment. While the risk grade of A- signals economic stability, the current metrics suggest that Gillette home prices may not see aggressive appreciation in the near term.

For those asking will Gillette home prices drop further, the outlook points to a soft landing rather than a crash. The local economy, heavily tied to the Powder River Basin's energy sector, provides a buffer but also introduces volatility; if energy markets stabilize, housing demand could find a floor. The current median home price of $320,824 sits within a 5-year range of $263,039 โ€“ $340,870, suggesting prices are reverting to historical averages. The "RENT" verdict is driven by the high price-to-rent ratio, making leasing the financially prudent choice for now. However, days on market at 39 remains reasonable, preventing a drastic inventory glut.

In the context of Gillette real estate Gillette 2027, the market will likely depend on broader energy trends and affordability adjustments. If mortgage rates ease and local employment in the energy and construction sectors remains steady, we could see a return to modest, sustainable growth by 2027. However, the elevated price-to-rent ratio suggests that affordability will remain a headwind, potentially keeping the market relatively flat compared to national trends. A balanced assessment suggests that while the era of rapid appreciation is over, the fundamentals of Gillette's housing market remain sound, offering stability for long-term holders despite short-term price softness.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+3.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Months Supply 64.0
Price Drops 33%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Gillette.

Total ROI
-152%
on $71,980 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$109,191
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,902
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y175kY278kY381kY485kY589k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$109,191
Final Equity
$88,853

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Gillette

Property

Purchase Price$359,900
Monthly Rent$921
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,730
Monthly Cash Flow
-$20,757/ year
-28.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$921
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,820
โˆ’ Property Tax$360
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$300
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$1,730

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$71,980
Loan Amount
$287,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,651
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026