Goodyear
Investment Analysis

Goodyear, AZ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
39
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
21.8x
YoY Growth
-2.2%
Median Home Price
$482,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$105,160
Population
111,807

Investment Breakdown

35
Value Score
28
Growth Score
55
Safety Score
45
Afford Score

Goodyear has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.8x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$603
Insurance (~0.5%) -$201
Maintenance (~1%) -$402
Est. Net Cash Flow $219/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Goodyear Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$465K2027$495Kโ–ฒ 6.4%2028$503Kโ–ฒ 8.2%20232024Now
$528K$440K
Current
$482K
2026
Projected
$495K
โ†‘ 6.4% by 2027
Projected
$503K
โ†‘ 8.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.13
โ–ผ

The Goodyear housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. Currently, the median home price sits at $464,919, representing a modest year-over-year decline of -1.6% after a strong run-up that saw a 30.7% gain over the last five years. With a price-to-rent ratio of 24.2x, well above the national average of 18x, the market remains stretched for potential buyers, making renting a more financially prudent short-term decision, as reflected in the "RENT" verdict. The market temperature of 63/100 indicates a balanced but slightly cool environment, where days on market average 40, giving buyers a bit more leverage than in recent years.

A key question for the region is: will Goodyear home prices drop further? The answer likely hinges on local economic drivers and affordability constraints. Continued population migration and the expansion of the nearby industrial and logistics hubs could support demand, but high interest rates and the elevated price-to-rent ratio will likely cap appreciation. For those looking at Goodyear real estate Goodyear 2027, the risk grade of A suggests market stability, but the five-year price range of $355,634 โ€“ $520,751 highlights potential volatility. Ultimately, while a major crash seems unlikely given the strong fundamentals, significant appreciation also appears constrained. The forecast points toward a plateauing market where price growth aligns more closely with historical norms, offering opportunities for patient buyers but requiring careful evaluation of long-term affordability.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.1%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 6.1
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 20%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Goodyear.

Total ROI
-139%
on $96,400 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$134,357
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,366
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1100kY2105kY3109kY4114kY5119k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$134,357
Final Equity
$118,997

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Goodyear

Property

Purchase Price$482,000
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,093
Monthly Cash Flow
-$25,117/ year
-26.1%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,437
โˆ’ Property Tax$482
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$402
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$2,093

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$96,400
Loan Amount
$385,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,517
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026