Greenville
Investment Analysis

Greenville, MS
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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58
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.0%
Gross Yield
6.6%
P/R Ratio
3.9x
YoY Growth
-27.1%
Median Home Price
$129,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$714/mo
Median Income
$36,297
Population
28,833

Investment Breakdown

88
Value Score
0
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
66
Afford Score

Greenville has a price-to-rent ratio of 3.9x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 4.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -27.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $714
Annual Gross $8,568

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$162
Insurance (~0.5%) -$54
Maintenance (~1%) -$108
Est. Net Cash Flow $389/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Greenville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“‰ Downward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$46K2027$42Kโ–ผ 7.4%2028$33Kโ–ผ 27.3%20232024Now
$80K$32K
Current
$130K
2026
Projected
$42K
โ†“ 7.4% by 2027
Projected
$33K
โ†“ 27.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:-13.0%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.86
โ–ผ

The current data paints a challenging picture for the Greenville housing market, with a median home price of just $45,887 and a staggering 5-year price decline of -50.4%. When analyzing the Greenville housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the immediate question is whether this trend will reverse. The price-to-rent ratio sits at an incredibly low 4.8x, far below the national average, signaling that buying is significantly cheaper than renting locally. This affordability, combined with a risk grade of B, suggests a strong value proposition for long-term investors despite the negative YoY price change of -25.9%. The market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced environment rather than a fire sale.

Will Greenville home prices drop further? With a 5-year CAGR of -12.9%, the trajectory has been steep, but the low price point creates a natural floor. Local economic factors, such as the stability of the Mississippi Delta economy and employment tied to regional agriculture and manufacturing, will be critical drivers for Greenville real estate Greenville 2027 performance. The current days on market of 35 suggests that well-priced homes still move, but sellers must be realistic. For buyers, the verdict to BUY is compelling due to low entry costs and high rental yield potential, though appreciation may be slow to return.

Looking toward 2028, the forecast for Greenville is one of stabilization rather than rapid growth. The extreme undervaluation compared to national metrics suggests that significant further declines are unlikely unless the local economy deteriorates sharply. However, a rapid rebound is also improbable given the demographic and economic headwinds facing the Delta region. Investors should view this as a cash-flow play rather than an appreciation play. While the data shows a market in distress, the affordability metrics offer a unique entry point for those with a patient horizon, balancing current risks against the potential for gradual recovery in this specific segment of the deep South.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
12.5%
5yr CAGR
-13%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

58
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 69.2%
Months Supply 12.7
Price Drops 14%
Gone in 2 Wks 0%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Greenville.

Total ROI
-60%
on $25,980 invested
Annual ROI
-16.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$15,623
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$324
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y127kY228kY329kY431kY532k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$15,623
Final Equity
$32,070

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Greenville

Property

Purchase Price$129,900
Monthly Rent$714
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$342
Monthly Cash Flow
-$4,100/ year
-15.8%
Cash-on-Cash
2.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$714
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$657
โˆ’ Property Tax$130
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$108
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$36
= Net Cash Flow-$342

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$25,980
Loan Amount
$103,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,056
Gross Yield
6.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026