Lebanon
Investment Analysis

Lebanon, NH
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
60
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
20.7x
YoY Growth
+3.5%
Median Home Price
$512,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,471/mo
Median Income
$92,288
Population
14,759

Investment Breakdown

38
Value Score
85
Growth Score
85
Safety Score
41
Afford Score

Lebanon has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.7x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.5% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,471
Annual Gross $17,652

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$640
Insurance (~0.5%) -$213
Maintenance (~1%) -$427
Est. Net Cash Flow $191/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lebanon Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$443K2027$488Kโ–ฒ 10.1%2028$519Kโ–ฒ 17.0%20232024Now
$545K$355K
Current
$512K
2026
Projected
$488K
โ†‘ 10.1% by 2027
Projected
$519K
โ†‘ 17.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+9.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, our Lebanon housing market forecast points toward a period of normalization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. The market is currently running hot, with a 5-year price change of 57.4% pushing the median home price to $443,486. However, the price-to-rent ratio of 22.3x significantly above the national average of 18x signals stretched affordability. This metric, combined with a relatively balanced market temperature of 60/100, suggests that the ceiling for price growth is nearing. While the local economy, anchored by Dartmouth College and Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center, provides a stable employment base, the high cost of entry may begin to temper demand from first-time buyers and investors alike.

For potential buyers asking will Lebanon home prices drop, the answer is likely a soft landing rather than a sharp correction. The A risk grade and low days on market of 35 indicate underlying demand remains healthy, preventing a crash. However, the 3.5% YoY price change is a notable cooldown from the 9.3% 5-year CAGR, hinting at a slower growth trajectory. Key local factors to watch include the ongoing housing affordability crisis and limited inventory, which could keep prices sticky despite softer buyer sentiment. For those evaluating the Lebanon real estate Lebanon 2027 landscape, the "Rent" verdict is a pragmatic signal that renting may be financially wiser in the short term while the market digests recent gains. The forecast suggests steady but muted appreciation as affordability constraints bite.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+9.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

84
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.0%
Months Supply 5.5
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 33%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Lebanon.

Total ROI
-49%
on $102,400 invested
Annual ROI
-12.5%
compounded
Total Return
-$49,807
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,553
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1124kY2147kY3171kY4196kY5222k
Appreciation
$95,508
Cash Flow
-$145,315
Final Equity
$221,911

* Estimates based on 3.5% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Lebanon

Property

Purchase Price$512,000
Monthly Rent$1,471
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,255
Monthly Cash Flow
-$27,062/ year
-26.4%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,471
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,589
โˆ’ Property Tax$512
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$427
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$74
= Net Cash Flow-$2,255

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$102,400
Loan Amount
$409,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,726
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026