Miami Gardens
Investment Analysis

Miami Gardens, FL
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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28
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.3%
Gross Yield
3.9%
P/R Ratio
19.1x
YoY Growth
-3.7%
Median Home Price
$498,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,621/mo
Median Income
$67,169
Population
110,714

Investment Breakdown

43
Value Score
13
Growth Score
11
Safety Score
38
Afford Score

Miami Gardens has a price-to-rent ratio of 19.1x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.7% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,621
Annual Gross $19,452

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$623
Insurance (~0.5%) -$208
Maintenance (~1%) -$415
Est. Net Cash Flow $376/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Miami Gardens Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$463K2027$545Kโ–ฒ 17.9%2028$582Kโ–ฒ 25.9%20232024Now
$611K$390K
Current
$498K
2026
Projected
$545K
โ†‘ 17.9% by 2027
Projected
$582K
โ†‘ 25.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.88
โ–ผ

The Miami Gardens housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization and modest growth following recent cooling. After a strong 5-year run with prices up 55.1% and a 9.0% CAGR, the market is adjusting. Current median home prices sit at $462,706, reflecting a -3.5% YoY change, indicating a shift from the frenetic appreciation of previous years. Key local factors, including the expansion of the Hard Rock Stadium entertainment complex and ongoing commercial development along the I-95 corridor, will continue to support the local economy. However, rising insurance costs and broader affordability pressures are creating headwinds, making buyers more cautious and extending median Days on Market to 50.

Considering the elevated price-to-rent ratio of 21.2x versus the national average of 18x, the immediate question of will Miami Gardens home prices drop further is complex. While prices may see minor corrections or flatlining in the near term, a significant crash is unlikely due to the area's strong "A" risk grade and sustained demand from renters seeking more affordable options than Miami proper. The market's "60/100" temperature indicates it is balancing. For those evaluating Miami Gardens real estate Miami Gardens 2027, the path forward will likely be defined by incremental gains rather than explosive growth. This environment suggests a gradual return to stability, positioning the area for long-term health as new infrastructure projects mature and population growth continues steadily.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+8.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 95.8%
Months Supply 6.2
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 12%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Miami Gardens.

Total ROI
-130%
on $99,600 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$129,483
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,302
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1104kY2108kY3113kY4118kY5123k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$129,483
Final Equity
$122,947

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Miami Gardens

Property

Purchase Price$498,000
Monthly Rent$1,621
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,016
Monthly Cash Flow
-$24,195/ year
-24.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,621
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,518
โˆ’ Property Tax$498
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$415
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$81
= Net Cash Flow-$2,016

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$99,600
Loan Amount
$398,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,637
Gross Yield
3.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026