Miami Gardens
Investment Analysis

Miami Gardens, FL
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

22.3x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.5%
Recorded YoY field
-3.7%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$433,750
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,621/mo
Median Income
$67,169
Population
110,714

Housing Screening Context

Miami Gardens has a computed screening multiple of 22.3x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.5%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -3.7%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,621
Annual Gross $19,452

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$542
Insurance (~0.5%) -$181
Maintenance (~1%) -$361
Est. Net Cash Flow $537/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Miami Gardens Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$474K2027$547Kโ–ฒ 15.3%2028$579Kโ–ฒ 22.0%20232024Now
$608K$414K
Current
$434K
2026
Projected
$547K
โ†‘ 15.3% by 2027
Projected
$579K
โ†‘ 22.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.7%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.82
โ–ผ

The Miami Gardens housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization and modest growth following recent cooling. After a strong 5-year run with prices up 55.1% and a 9.0% CAGR, the market is adjusting. Current median home prices sit at $462,706, reflecting a -3.5% YoY change, indicating a shift from the frenetic appreciation of previous years. Key local factors, including the expansion of the Hard Rock Stadium entertainment complex and ongoing commercial development along the I-95 corridor, will continue to support the local economy. However, rising insurance costs and broader affordability pressures are creating headwinds, making buyers more cautious and extending median Days on Market to 50.

Considering the elevated price-to-rent ratio of 21.2x versus the national average of 18x, the immediate question of will Miami Gardens home prices drop further is complex. While prices may see minor corrections or flatlining in the near term, a significant crash is unlikely due to the area's strong "A" risk grade and sustained demand from renters seeking more affordable options than Miami proper. The market's "60/100" temperature indicates it is balancing. For those evaluating Miami Gardens real estate Miami Gardens 2027, the path forward will likely be defined by incremental gains rather than explosive growth. This environment suggests a gradual return to stability, positioning the area for long-term health as new infrastructure projects mature and population growth continues steadily.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+7.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 96.3%
Months Supply 4.1
Price Drops 17%
Gone in 2 Wks 18%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Miami Gardens.

Total ROI
-115%
on $86,750 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$99,740
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,807
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y190kY294kY398kY4102kY5107k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$99,740
Final Equity
$107,085

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Miami Gardens

Property

Purchase Price$433,750
Monthly Rent$1,621
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,574
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$18,882/ year
-21.8%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,621
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,193
โˆ’ Property Tax$434
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$361
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$81
= Net Cash Flow-$1,574

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$86,750
Loan Amount
$347,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,195
Gross Yield
4.5%

Investor Toolkit

Research Miami Gardens before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026