Montpelier
Investment Analysis

Montpelier, VT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
59
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.6%
Gross Yield
4.4%
P/R Ratio
22.5x
YoY Growth
+3.9%
Median Home Price
$368,875
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,343/mo
Median Income
$79,175
Population
8,038

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
89
Growth Score
83
Safety Score
43
Afford Score

Montpelier has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.5x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,343
Annual Gross $16,116

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$461
Insurance (~0.5%) -$154
Maintenance (~1%) -$307
Est. Net Cash Flow $421/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Montpelier Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$403K2027$432K 7.2%2028$449K 11.4%20232024Now
$472K$359K
Current
$369K
2026
Projected
$432K
7.2% by 2027
Projected
$449K
11.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.5%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.84

For anyone evaluating the Montpelier housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of moderation rather than the rapid gains seen previously. After a five-year price surge of 32.8%, the annual appreciation has slowed to just 2.5%, a clear signal that affordability constraints are capping further growth. With a median home price of $403,228 and a price-to-rent ratio of 22.3x—significantly higher than the national average—buying remains a financial stretch compared to renting. The market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced but cooling environment, where properties are taking 35 days to sell, offering buyers slightly more leverage than in recent years.

Considering will Montpelier home prices drop, the Risk Grade of A and steady local economy suggest a sharp correction is unlikely. Montpelier's status as the state capital and the presence of stable government and non-profit jobs provide a solid employment floor, preventing the volatility seen in more speculative markets. However, high interest rates and the stark affordability gap will likely keep demand in check. For the Montpelier real estate Montpelier 2027 outlook, I anticipate price growth stabilizing in the 1-3% range annually, with inventory levels gradually rising as the market shifts toward equilibrium. This environment favors long-term stability over quick appreciation.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

87
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 93.0%
Months Supply 4.5
Price Drops 17%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Montpelier.

Total ROI
-13%
on $73,775 invested
Annual ROI
-2.7%
compounded
Total Return
-$9,489
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,570
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y191kY2109kY3128kY4148kY5169k
Appreciation
$77,549
Cash Flow
-$87,039
Final Equity
$168,618

* Estimates based on 3.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Montpelier

Property

Purchase Price$368,875
Monthly Rent$1,343
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,391
Monthly Cash Flow
-$16,688/ year
-22.6%
Cash-on-Cash
1.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,343
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,865
− Property Tax$369
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$307
− Vacancy Loss$67
= Net Cash Flow-$1,391

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$73,775
Loan Amount
$295,100
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,734
Gross Yield
4.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026