Peoria
Investment Analysis

Peoria, AZ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
42
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.3%
P/R Ratio
22.5x
YoY Growth
-2.9%
Median Home Price
$516,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$97,296
Population
198,753

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
21
Growth Score
81
Safety Score
45
Afford Score

Peoria has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.5x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.9% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$645
Insurance (~0.5%) -$215
Maintenance (~1%) -$430
Est. Net Cash Flow $134/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Peoria Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$481K2027$518Kโ–ฒ 7.6%2028$528Kโ–ฒ 9.7%20232024Now
$555K$455K
Current
$516K
2026
Projected
$518K
โ†‘ 7.6% by 2027
Projected
$528K
โ†‘ 9.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.3%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.21
โ–ผ

The current **Peoria housing market forecast** suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts through 2028. With a median home price of **$481,219** and a recent **-2.1%** YoY price change, the market is cooling from its post-pandemic highs. While the 5-year price change remains robust at **31.6%**, the deceleration signals a return to more normalized growth patterns. The **Price-to-Rent Ratio** sits at **25.0x**, significantly above the national average of 18x, which heavily supports the "RENT" verdict for now, making leasing the more financially prudent choice compared to buying at current valuations. The **Market Temperature** of **62/100** indicates a balanced but slightly softening environment.

Addressing the question of **will Peoria home prices drop**, the data points toward mild corrections or flat growth rather than a steep crash, supported by a strong **Risk Grade: A**. Peoriaโ€™s economy is anchored by stable sectors like healthcare and logistics, and the area continues to attract families seeking affordability compared to Phoenix proper, though affordability is becoming strained. The **Days on Market** of **44** suggests buyers have more leverage than in previous years, but demand hasn't evaporated. For those eyeing **Peoria real estate Peoria 2027**, inventory levels and interest rate movements will be the deciding factors. The **5-Year CAGR** of **5.6%** is likely to compress, with future appreciation likely tracking closer to inflation.

Looking ahead to 2026-2028, the market will likely hinge on local job growth and the availability of new housing stock. Peoriaโ€™s development of its downtown and expansion of medical facilities could provide pockets of strength, but high borrowing costs will cap overall enthusiasm. The **Median Rent** of **$1,424/mo** offers a lower barrier to entry than purchasing, which may keep rental demand high. Ultimately, while the market is not immune to broader economic headwinds, Peoria's fundamentals remain solid. Expect a period of price consolidation where the **Price Range** of **$365,632 โ€“ $532,621** serves as a realistic band, offering opportunities for patient buyers but rewarding renters in the short term.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.2%
Months Supply 5.1
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Peoria.

Total ROI
-145%
on $103,200 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$150,097
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,628
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1107kY2112kY3117kY4122kY5127k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$150,097
Final Equity
$127,391

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Peoria

Property

Purchase Price$516,000
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,327
Monthly Cash Flow
-$27,929/ year
-27.1%
Cash-on-Cash
0.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,609
โˆ’ Property Tax$516
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$430
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$2,327

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$103,200
Loan Amount
$412,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,751
Gross Yield
3.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026