Smyrna
Investment Analysis

Smyrna, DE
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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50
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.5%
Gross Yield
4.2%
P/R Ratio
23.8x
YoY Growth
+1.8%
Median Home Price
$312,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,100/mo
Median Income
$70,473
Population
13,031

Investment Breakdown

29
Value Score
68
Growth Score
57
Safety Score
58
Afford Score

Smyrna has a price-to-rent ratio of 23.8x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,100
Annual Gross $13,200

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$391
Insurance (~0.5%) -$130
Maintenance (~1%) -$260
Est. Net Cash Flow $319/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Smyrna Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$394K2027$426Kโ–ฒ 8.1%2028$446Kโ–ฒ 13.1%20232024Now
$468K$339K
Current
$313K
2026
Projected
$426K
โ†‘ 8.1% by 2027
Projected
$446K
โ†‘ 13.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.5%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.90
โ–ผ

Looking at the Smyrna housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a cooling but resilient trajectory. The current median home price of $394,320 has appreciated significantly, with a 5-year change of 39.2% and a compound annual growth rate of 6.7%. However, the immediate YoY price change has slowed to just 1.8%, indicating a market that is normalizing after a period of rapid gains. With a price-to-rent ratio of 26.6xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the market is expensive for potential buyers, which may continue to push demand toward rentals. Days on market sits at 35 days, suggesting homes are still moving, but not with the frenzy seen in prior years.

A key question for prospective buyers is will Smyrna home prices drop? Given the market temperature of 60/100 and an "A" risk grade, a sharp correction seems unlikely. Smyrna's proximity to major employment hubs in Delaware and its relative affordability compared to larger metro areas continue to provide a stable floor for prices. However, affordability constraints will likely temper growth. Local economic development and infrastructure improvements could provide modest upward pressure, but the high price-to-rent ratio will keep the "RENT" verdict relevant for many.

For those analyzing the Smyrna real estate Smyrna 2027 outlook, stability appears to be the theme. The transition from high growth to steady, single-digit appreciation is likely, supported by consistent demand and a limited supply of available homes. While the rapid appreciation of the past five years is unlikely to repeat, the market is not expected to collapse. Investors and homeowners should anticipate a more balanced environment where price growth aligns more closely with local wage increases and broader economic fundamentals rather than speculative fervor.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+6.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.0%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 15%
Gone in 2 Wks 13%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Smyrna.

Total ROI
-74%
on $62,500 invested
Annual ROI
-23.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$46,262
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,366
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y171kY279kY388kY497kY5107k
Appreciation
$29,828
Cash Flow
-$76,090
Final Equity
$106,978

* Estimates based on 1.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Smyrna

Property

Purchase Price$312,500
Monthly Rent$1,100
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,233
Monthly Cash Flow
-$14,797/ year
-23.7%
Cash-on-Cash
1.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,100
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,580
โˆ’ Property Tax$313
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$260
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$55
= Net Cash Flow-$1,233

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$62,500
Loan Amount
$250,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,333
Gross Yield
4.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026