Springfield
Investment Analysis

Springfield, OR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
45
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.0%
P/R Ratio
24.2x
YoY Growth
-0.2%
Median Home Price
$432,249
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,063/mo
Median Income
$67,211
Population
61,642

Investment Breakdown

27
Value Score
48
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Springfield has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.2x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,063
Annual Gross $12,756

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$540
Insurance (~0.5%) -$180
Maintenance (~1%) -$360
Est. Net Cash Flow -$18/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Springfield Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$406K2027$427Kโ–ฒ 5.0%2028$437Kโ–ฒ 7.5%20232024Now
$459K$372K
Current
$432K
2026
Projected
$427K
โ†‘ 5.0% by 2027
Projected
$437K
โ†‘ 7.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.3%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.61
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the Springfield housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. Currently, the median home price sits at $406,225 with a subtle year-over-year change of -0.2%, indicating a cooling trend from the 5-year price change of 26.1%. This moderation is reflected in the market temperature score of 65/100, which points to a balanced environment. A key factor influencing this outlook is the high price-to-rent ratio of 27.5x, significantly above the national average. This metric, combined with a "RENT" verdict, will likely dampen investor enthusiasm and keep some potential buyers on the sidelines, waiting for more favorable conditions. However, with a risk grade of "A", the market is seen as fundamentally sound.

When asking will Springfield home prices drop, the answer appears to be a modest "possibly," but not a crash. The current conditions, including a swift 32 days on market, show that demand hasn't evaporated completely. Local economic drivers, such as steady job growth in the manufacturing and healthcare sectors, continue to support the market, while affordability challenges push some demand toward the rental market, where the median rent is $1,063/mo. The 5-year price range of $322,225 โ€“ $407,107 suggests a solid floor, and the 5-year CAGR of 4.7% provides a realistic baseline for future appreciation. This creates a more sustainable growth path for Springfield real estate Springfield 2027, moving away from the rapid appreciation seen in previous years.

Ultimately, the forecast for the Springfield real estate market points toward a period of consolidation. The combination of high price-to-rent ratios and a balanced market temperature suggests that significant appreciation is unlikely without a shift in interest rates or a surge in local incomes. However, the strong "A" risk grade and steady demand fundamentals should prevent any substantial decline. Buyers and investors should expect a more normalized environment where price growth aligns with historical norms, making it a stable, if not spectacular, period for the Springfield housing market forecast.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+4.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 101.4%
Months Supply 2.7
Price Drops 36%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Springfield.

Total ROI
-155%
on $86,450 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$133,831
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,325
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y190kY294kY398kY4102kY5107k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$133,831
Final Equity
$106,714

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Springfield

Property

Purchase Price$432,249
Monthly Rent$1,063
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,093
Monthly Cash Flow
-$25,120/ year
-29.1%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,063
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,186
โˆ’ Property Tax$432
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$360
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$53
= Net Cash Flow-$2,093

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$86,450
Loan Amount
$345,799
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,156
Gross Yield
3.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026