Toledo
Investment Analysis

Toledo, OH
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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67
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.1%
Gross Yield
6.9%
P/R Ratio
10.6x
YoY Growth
+5.6%
Median Home Price
$130,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$753/mo
Median Income
$46,302
Population
265,306

Investment Breakdown

68
Value Score
100
Growth Score
32
Safety Score
60
Afford Score

Toledo has a price-to-rent ratio of 10.6x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 4.1% is around the national average.

Year-over-year price growth of +5.6% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $753
Annual Gross $9,036

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$164
Insurance (~0.5%) -$55
Maintenance (~1%) -$109
Est. Net Cash Flow $426/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Toledo Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$124K2027$130Kโ–ฒ 4.7%2028$137Kโ–ฒ 9.9%20232024Now
$144K$97K
Current
$131K
2026
Projected
$130K
โ†‘ 4.7% by 2027
Projected
$137K
โ†‘ 9.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

Looking at the Toledo housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the current fundamentals strongly support continued, albeit more measured, appreciation. The market is notably affordable with a median home price of $124,491 and a price-to-rent ratio of just 11.9x, significantly below the national average. This affordability, combined with a hot market temperature of 69/100 and a brisk 21 days on market, suggests sustained buyer demand. While the 5-year price change of 44.0% is substantial, the underlying economy, anchored by manufacturing and healthcare, alongside steady rental demand, provides a solid floor for values. For those asking will Toledo home prices drop, the data points to stability rather than a correction, as local economic drivers and strong affordability should prevent any significant downturn.

For the Toledo real estate Toledo 2027 outlook, I project annual appreciation moderating to the 4-6% range as the market normalizes from its recent rapid growth. The city's strategic location and ongoing downtown revitalization efforts could attract further investment, supporting this trajectory. However, a balanced assessment must consider potential headwinds: rising interest rates could temper buyer enthusiasm, and the local economy's sensitivity to broader manufacturing trends remains a factor. The risk grade of A and a buy/rent verdict of BUY highlight that entry points remain attractive, but the explosive gains of the past five years are unlikely to repeat. The forecast is for a period of healthy, sustainable growth rather than a boom, With the market likely to see prices approach the $140,000-$145,000 range by 2028, driven by consistent demand and Toledo's enduring affordability advantage.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.3%
5yr CAGR
+7.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 3.1
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 25%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Toledo.

Total ROI
103%
on $26,180 invested
Annual ROI
15.3%
compounded
Total Return
$27,095
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$295
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y135kY243kY353kY463kY573k
Appreciation
$40,749
Cash Flow
-$13,655
Final Equity
$73,066

* Estimates based on 5.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Toledo

Property

Purchase Price$130,900
Monthly Rent$753
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$312
Monthly Cash Flow
-$3,738/ year
-14.3%
Cash-on-Cash
3.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$753
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$662
โˆ’ Property Tax$131
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$109
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$38
= Net Cash Flow-$312

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$26,180
Loan Amount
$104,720
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,065
Gross Yield
6.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026