Largest estimated corridor
CA → TX
77,198 ± 9,890
Q1 2026 publication edition Data reviewed July 13, 2026
US Migration Trends 2026: Latest State Flows & Net Migration
A reproducible analysis of 2024 ACS state-to-state flow estimates and Census Vintage 2025 net domestic migration. The edition date is 2026; every table names its actual observation period.
Read the dates correctly
Flow observation:
2024 ACS 1-year PUMS; previous residence one year earlier.
Latest net migration:
July 1, 2024–July 1, 2025, Census Vintage 2025.
Publication edition:
Q1 2026, materially reviewed July 13, 2026.
Headline findings from the latest official releases
Top net domestic gain
North Carolina
+84,064
Largest net domestic loss
California
−229,077
Corridors estimated
2,202
7,124,428 weighted moves
Largest state-to-state corridors
ACS 2024 weighted people estimates; 90% margin of error shown.
| Rank | Origin | Destination | People estimate | 90% MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | California | Texas | 77,198 | ± 9,890 |
| 2 | New York | New Jersey | 57,915 | ± 9,105 |
| 3 | California | Nevada | 53,816 | ± 8,136 |
| 4 | Florida | Georgia | 53,800 | ± 9,235 |
| 5 | New York | Florida | 52,521 | ± 7,743 |
| 6 | Florida | Texas | 52,200 | ± 8,633 |
| 7 | California | Arizona | 51,251 | ± 7,068 |
| 8 | California | Washington | 47,978 | ± 6,610 |
| 9 | Texas | California | 45,803 | ± 6,792 |
| 10 | Texas | Florida | 44,800 | ± 12,461 |
| 11 | New Jersey | Pennsylvania | 38,411 | ± 5,876 |
| 12 | California | Florida | 37,272 | ± 6,499 |
| 13 | New Jersey | New York | 36,356 | ± 5,884 |
| 14 | Georgia | Florida | 35,570 | ± 6,622 |
| 15 | North Carolina | South Carolina | 33,839 | ± 6,269 |
Latest net domestic migration by state
Census Population Estimates, July 1, 2024–July 1, 2025. These net estimates are a different product from ACS gross corridors.
Largest gains
- 1. North Carolina+84,064
- 2. Texas+67,299
- 3. South Carolina+66,622
- 4. Tennessee+42,389
- 5. Arizona+31,107
- 6. Georgia+27,333
- 7. Alabama+23,358
- 8. Florida+22,517
- 9. Idaho+19,915
- 10. Nevada+14,914
Largest losses
- 1. California−229,077
- 2. New York−137,586
- 3. Illinois−40,017
- 4. New Jersey−37,428
- 5. Massachusetts−33,340
- 6. Louisiana−14,387
- 7. Maryland−12,127
- 8. Colorado−12,100
- 9. Hawaii−8,876
- 10. Connecticut−5,945
What this evidence supports
- Estimated number of people moving between states in the ACS reference period.
- Net domestic migration components by state in Vintage 2025.
- Sampling uncertainty for corridor estimates.
- Comparison of gross corridors and net state outcomes as separate measures.
What it does not prove
- Why an individual moved.
- That taxes, remote work, housing or politics caused a corridor.
- City-to-city movement inside a state-to-state estimate.
- Quarterly 2026 flows—the underlying flow product is annual 2024 data.
Methodology, sources and reproducibility
ACS corridors. Ocity aggregated 2024 ACS 1-year PUMS person records by prior state (`MIGSP`) and current state (`STATE`), weighted by `PWGTP`. Same-state, abroad, Puerto Rico and unmapped records were excluded. Standard errors use all 80 person replicate weights; displayed margins are 90%.
Net domestic migration. Values are copied from the annual July 1, 2024 to July 1, 2025 domestic migration column in Census `NST-EST2025-COMP`. PEP net migration and ACS gross flows are not interchangeable.
Freshness. Sources were checked and retrieved July 13, 2026. The page separates observation period, release context and review date.
U.S. Census Bureau
2024 ACS 1-Year PUMS Person CSV
Observation: 2024 ACS reference period / residence one year ago
Official source U.S. Census Bureau2024 ACS 1-Year PUMS Housing CSV
Observation: 2024
Official source U.S. Census Bureau2024 PUMS Data Dictionary
Observation: 2024
Official source U.S. Census BureauAnnual and Cumulative Estimates of Components of Resident Population Change, Vintage 2025
Observation: July 1, 2024 to July 1, 2025
Official sourceDownloads and citation
Suggested citation: Ocity Research. “US Migration Trends 2026: Latest State Flows & Net Migration.” Q1 2026 edition, materially reviewed July 13, 2026. ACS 2024 PUMS and Census Vintage 2025 Population Estimates.