Alexandria
Investment Analysis

Alexandria, LA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.5%
Gross Yield
4.1%
P/R Ratio
11.6x
YoY Growth
-1.6%
Median Home Price
$220,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$757/mo
Median Income
$47,357
Population
44,566

Investment Breakdown

65
Value Score
34
Growth Score
36
Safety Score
64
Afford Score

Alexandria has a price-to-rent ratio of 11.6x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 2.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $757
Annual Gross $9,084

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$275
Insurance (~0.5%) -$92
Maintenance (~1%) -$183
Est. Net Cash Flow $207/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Alexandria Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
โžก๏ธ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$135K2027$138Kโ–ฒ 1.9%2028$139Kโ–ฒ 2.9%20232024Now
$146K$124K
Current
$220K
2026
Projected
$138K
โ†‘ 1.9% by 2027
Projected
$139K
โ†‘ 2.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+0.4%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.31
โ–ผ

For those evaluating an Alexandria housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than rapid growth. The current median home price of $134,888 sits well below national norms, supported by an attractive price-to-rent ratio of 12.8x compared to the national average of 18x. This affordability anchor, combined with a market temperature of 60/100 and a low-risk grade of A, points to a resilient environment. However, the recent YoY price change of -2.4% indicates softening demand, likely influenced by broader economic headwinds and local factors such as the stability of the central Louisiana economy and military-connected employment at nearby Fort Polk. With days on market at 35, inventory isnโ€™t moving quickly, which may keep price appreciation modest.

Addressing the question of will Alexandria home prices drop further, the outlook for 2026-2028 leans toward a flat to slightly appreciating trajectory. The five-year CAGR of 0.6% and a total price change of 3.3% reveal a historically slow-moving market, suggesting that significant declines are unlikely barring a major economic shock. Affordability remains a key support, drawing in buyers seeking value compared to hotter markets. As we look toward Alexandria real estate Alexandria 2027, local growth will likely depend on job creation in healthcare, education, and logistics, which serve as pillars of the regional economy. While not poised for explosive growth, Alexandria offers stability. The "BUY" verdict feels justified for long-term holders, though buyers should temper expectations for quick equity gains in this steady, risk-averse market.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.1%
5yr CAGR
+0.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

63
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 91.4%
Months Supply 4.4
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 23%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Alexandria.

Total ROI
-124%
on $44,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$54,652
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$978
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y146kY248kY350kY452kY554k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$54,652
Final Equity
$54,314

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Alexandria

Property

Purchase Price$220,000
Monthly Rent$757
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$922
Monthly Cash Flow
-$11,059/ year
-25.1%
Cash-on-Cash
1.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$757
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,112
โˆ’ Property Tax$220
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$183
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$38
= Net Cash Flow-$922

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$44,000
Loan Amount
$176,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,679
Gross Yield
4.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026