Buena Park
Investment Analysis

Buena Park, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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33
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
27.0x
YoY Growth
-1.2%
Median Home Price
$872,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,252/mo
Median Income
$115,247
Population
81,965

Investment Breakdown

19
Value Score
38
Growth Score
50
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Buena Park has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.0x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,252
Annual Gross $27,024

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,091
Insurance (~0.5%) -$364
Maintenance (~1%) -$727
Est. Net Cash Flow $71/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Buena Park Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$912K2027$988K 8.4%2028$1M 13.1%20232024Now
$1M$755K
Current
$873K
2026
Projected
$988K
8.4% by 2027
Projected
$1M
13.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:High
R²:0.86

For anyone parsing the Buena Park housing market forecast through 2028, the data points to a cooling, not a collapse. With a median price of $911,973 and a sharp YoY price change of -1.1%, the market is digesting years of rapid appreciation. The 5-year price change of 33.6% (a 5.9% CAGR) pushed valuations to a Price-to-Rent ratio of 30.0x—well above the national average—making the Rent verdict compelling for cost-conscious households. A brisk 21 days on market and a Market Temperature of 69/100 signal continued liquidity, but affordability headwinds will likely cap gains as higher rates and regional income constraints bite.

Looking ahead to Buena Park real estate 2027, local fundamentals suggest a balanced adjustment rather than a sharp correction. Proximity to major employment hubs in Anaheim and Orange County supports demand, though the city’s mix of entertainment-adjacent service jobs and logistics activity may temper wage growth relative to pricier submarkets. Inventory remains tight, but new multifamily supply could ease rental pressure, keeping the rent-versus-buy math in favor of renting for now. The key question—will Buena Park home prices drop—hinges on rate trajectory and affordability; given the B+ risk grade and the 5-year range of $682,786 to $921,632, a mild mid-single-digit softening is plausible, with downside cushioned by persistent scarcity and buyer demand. Expect a measured, range-bound environment rather than a dramatic downturn.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Low Inventory
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 100.9%
Months Supply 1.9
Price Drops 18%
Gone in 2 Wks 43%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Buena Park.

Total ROI
-151%
on $174,500 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$263,512
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$4,592
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1182kY2189kY3197kY4206kY5215k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$263,512
Final Equity
$215,404

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Buena Park

Property

Purchase Price$872,500
Monthly Rent$2,252
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,997
Monthly Cash Flow
-$47,964/ year
-27.5%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,252
− Mortgage (P&I)$4,412
− Property Tax$873
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$727
− Vacancy Loss$113
= Net Cash Flow-$3,997

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$174,500
Loan Amount
$698,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$6,249
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026