Carson
Investment Analysis

Carson, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
39
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
22.9x
YoY Growth
-2.0%
Median Home Price
$778,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,252/mo
Median Income
$100,041
Population
91,122

Investment Breakdown

31
Value Score
30
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Carson has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.9x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,252
Annual Gross $27,024

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$973
Insurance (~0.5%) -$324
Maintenance (~1%) -$648
Est. Net Cash Flow $307/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Carson Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$781K2027$833Kโ–ฒ 6.7%2028$862Kโ–ฒ 10.4%20232024Now
$905K$665K
Current
$778K
2026
Projected
$833K
โ†‘ 6.7% by 2027
Projected
$862K
โ†‘ 10.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.5%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.79
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Carson housing market forecast through 2028, the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The recent YoY Price Change of -0.8% indicates a cooling phase, which is a natural correction after a robust 5-Year Price Change of 25.8%. With a Days on Market of just 31, buyer interest remains, but the elevated Price-to-Rent Ratio of 25.7xโ€”significantly higher than the national average of 18xโ€”points to stretched affordability that will likely cap appreciation. The local economy, heavily influenced by the logistics hub at the Port of Los Angeles and nearby industrial zones, provides a stable employment base, but this alone may not be enough to overcome the high cost of entry for new homeowners.

When asking will Carson home prices drop significantly, the Risk Grade of A- suggests a resilient market that can withstand moderate headwinds. The median rent of $2,252 per month provides a relatively solid yield for investors compared to the high purchase price, which supports the RENT verdict for those not already in the market. However, the 5-Year CAGR of 4.6% is a more realistic expectation for the coming years than the double-digit gains seen previously. In the broader Carson real estate Carson 2027 context, the market temperature of 66/100 indicates a balanced environment, where prices will likely flatten or see only modest single-digit growth as affordability constraints persist.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+4.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Inventory
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.6%
Months Supply 2.0
Price Drops 18%
Gone in 2 Wks 31%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Carson.

Total ROI
-141%
on $155,600 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$219,766
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,863
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1162kY2169kY3176kY4184kY5192k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$219,766
Final Equity
$192,074

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Carson

Property

Purchase Price$778,000
Monthly Rent$2,252
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,346
Monthly Cash Flow
-$40,151/ year
-25.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,252
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,934
โˆ’ Property Tax$778
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$648
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$113
= Net Cash Flow-$3,346

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$155,600
Loan Amount
$622,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,598
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026