South Gate
Investment Analysis

South Gate, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
44
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.3%
Gross Yield
3.8%
P/R Ratio
20.1x
YoY Growth
-1.1%
Median Home Price
$702,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,252/mo
Median Income
$71,760
Population
90,068

Investment Breakdown

40
Value Score
39
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

South Gate has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.1x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,252
Annual Gross $27,024

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$878
Insurance (~0.5%) -$293
Maintenance (~1%) -$585
Est. Net Cash Flow $496/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ South Gate Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$683K2027$729Kโ–ฒ 6.7%2028$756Kโ–ฒ 10.6%20232024Now
$794K$582K
Current
$703K
2026
Projected
$729K
โ†‘ 6.7% by 2027
Projected
$756K
โ†‘ 10.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.86
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the South Gate housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. With the median home price at $683,362 and a recent YoY price change of 0.0%, the market has effectively paused after years of growth. This cooling is partly due to affordability constraints; the price-to-rent ratio sits at 22.5x, well above the national average of 18x, making purchasing less compelling than renting for many. While the 5-year price change of 27.1% shows strong historical appreciation, the current market temperature of 60/100 indicates a more balanced environment. For those asking will South Gate home prices drop, the data points toward a plateau rather than a significant decline, supported by a low risk grade of A- and a relatively quick 35 days on market.

For investors and residents tracking South Gate real estate South Gate 2027, local economic factors will be crucial. The area's affordability relative to greater Los Angeles continues to attract demand, but high borrowing costs could cap price growth. The current buy/rent verdict leans heavily toward RENT, reflecting the high price-to-rent ratio and the fact that the 5-year CAGR of 4.8% may not outpace financing costs in the near term. Growth in the local service economy and proximity to major employment hubs provide a floor for prices, preventing a sharp correction. However, without significant income growth or a broader economic upswing, substantial appreciation seems unlikely. The forecast points to a stable but slow-moving market where price growth likely remains in the low single digits annually through 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+4.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Inventory
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.8%
Months Supply 4.4
Price Drops 18%
Gone in 2 Wks 33%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for South Gate.

Total ROI
-132%
on $140,500 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$184,815
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,281
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1146kY2152kY3159kY4166kY5173k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$184,815
Final Equity
$173,434

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for South Gate

Property

Purchase Price$702,500
Monthly Rent$2,252
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,826
Monthly Cash Flow
-$33,909/ year
-24.1%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,252
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,552
โˆ’ Property Tax$703
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$585
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$113
= Net Cash Flow-$2,826

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$140,500
Loan Amount
$562,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,078
Gross Yield
3.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026