Charleston
Investment Analysis

Charleston, SC
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

37.5x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
2.7%
Recorded YoY field
+0.2%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$640,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$95,126
Population
155,988

Housing Screening Context

Charleston has a computed screening multiple of 37.5x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 2.7%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +0.2%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$800
Insurance (~0.5%) -$267
Maintenance (~1%) -$533
Est. Net Cash Flow -$176/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Charleston Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$596K2027$664Kโ–ฒ 11.4%2028$699Kโ–ฒ 17.3%20232024Now
$734K$512K
Current
$640K
2026
Projected
$664K
โ†‘ 11.4% by 2027
Projected
$699K
โ†‘ 17.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.87
โ–ผ

Looking at the data for the Charleston housing market forecast through 2028, the momentum from the prior 5-year run appears to be normalizing. The 5-year price change of 56.4% is substantial, pushing the median home price to $575,699. However, the immediate YoY price change of just 0.1% signals a clear cooling period. With days on market at 70, buyers are regaining leverage, but the market isn't crashing. For anyone asking if Charleston home prices will drop, the data suggests stagnation rather than a steep decline, as local demand from corporate relocations and lifestyle migration continues to provide a floor under values.

The affordability metrics are particularly concerning for investors and first-time buyers alike. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 31.8x, significantly higher than the national average of 18x. With median rent at just $1,424/mo, the math strongly favors renting over buying for the foreseeable future, supporting the "RENT" verdict. The market temperature of 54/100 reflects this balanced, slightly softening state. While the local economy remains robust with port activity and aerospace growth, rising insurance premiums and property taxes are squeezing affordability. This suggests that for Charleston real estate Charleston 2027 will likely be a period of price consolidation rather than rapid appreciation.

From a risk perspective, the A- grade offers some reassurance that this isn't a speculative bubble poised to pop. The 5-year CAGR of 9.2% is historically strong, and even with slowing growth, the underlying desirability of the Lowcountry remains intact. The price range over the last five years, expanding from $367,980 to current levels, shows the floor has lifted significantly. While the era of double-digit annual gains is likely over for this cycle, Charleston's limited supply and enduring appeal should prevent major corrections. Investors should pivot from expecting appreciation to focusing on cash flow, as the current valuation metrics do not support aggressive leverage.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+7.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.2%
Months Supply 3.8
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 37%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Charleston.

Total ROI
-156%
on $128,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$200,106
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,585
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1135kY2142kY3149kY4157kY5165k
Appreciation
$7,394
Cash Flow
-$207,499
Final Equity
$165,398

* Estimates based on 0.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Charleston

Property

Purchase Price$640,000
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,182
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$38,181/ year
-29.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,236
โˆ’ Property Tax$640
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$533
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$3,182

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$128,000
Loan Amount
$512,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,606
Gross Yield
2.7%

Investor Toolkit

Research Charleston before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026