Dearborn
Investment Analysis

Dearborn, MI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
65
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.8%
Gross Yield
4.7%
P/R Ratio
15.3x
YoY Growth
+6.0%
Median Home Price
$260,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,029/mo
Median Income
$51,670
Population
105,818

Investment Breakdown

54
Value Score
100
Growth Score
55
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Dearborn has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.3x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +6.0% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,029
Annual Gross $12,348

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$325
Insurance (~0.5%) -$108
Maintenance (~1%) -$217
Est. Net Cash Flow $379/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Dearborn Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$236K2027$248Kโ–ฒ 5.2%2028$261Kโ–ฒ 10.5%20232024Now
$274K$187K
Current
$260K
2026
Projected
$248K
โ†‘ 5.2% by 2027
Projected
$261K
โ†‘ 10.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Dearborn housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $235,979 sits comfortably below national averages, supported by a robust local economy tied to automotive engineering and education. With a Price-to-Rent ratio of 17.0x, which is slightly below the national average, the market remains relatively balanced for both owners and renters. The strong 5-year price change of 44.8% indicates that much of the post-pandemic surge has already been realized, pointing toward a moderation in appreciation rates closer to the historical CAGR of 7.6% as affordability constraints begin to bite.

For those asking will Dearborn home prices drop, the data suggests a floor is likely in place due to the market's 69/100 temperature rating and an 'A' risk grade. While rapid appreciation may cool, significant declines are unlikely given the extremely low Days on Market of 20, which signals persistent buyer demand. Continued investment in the Ford River Rouge complex and proximity to Detroit's revitalization efforts will likely underpin values. However, affordability will be the key watchword; if mortgage rates remain elevated, the 4.3% YoY change could compress further, keeping the market accessible but less speculative.

By the time we reach Dearborn real estate Dearborn 2027, the market is expected to mature into a steady, low-volatility environment. The "Neutral" buy/rent verdict implies that neither investors nor first-time buyers face extreme pressure to act immediately, unlike in previous years. Local factors such as the stability of the manufacturing sector and the desirability of the city's diverse cultural amenities will prevent drastic downturns. Ultimately, Dearborn presents as a reliable, moderate-growth market where long-term equity building remains the primary play, rather than short-term flipping.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.1%
5yr CAGR
+7.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.5%
Months Supply 2.4
Price Drops 38%
Gone in 2 Wks 47%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Dearborn.

Total ROI
60%
on $52,000 invested
Annual ROI
9.9%
compounded
Total Return
$31,398
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,028
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y170kY288kY3108kY4129kY5152k
Appreciation
$87,611
Cash Flow
-$56,213
Final Equity
$151,800

* Estimates based on 6.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Dearborn

Property

Purchase Price$260,000
Monthly Rent$1,029
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$939
Monthly Cash Flow
-$11,266/ year
-21.7%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,029
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,315
โˆ’ Property Tax$260
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$217
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$51
= Net Cash Flow-$939

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$52,000
Loan Amount
$208,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,968
Gross Yield
4.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026