Dearborn
Investment Analysis

Dearborn, MI
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

23.9x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.2%
Recorded YoY field
+6.0%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$295,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,029/mo
Median Income
$51,670
Population
105,818

Housing Screening Context

Dearborn has a computed screening multiple of 23.9x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.2%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +6.0%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,029
Annual Gross $12,348

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$369
Insurance (~0.5%) -$123
Maintenance (~1%) -$246
Est. Net Cash Flow $292/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Dearborn Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$250K2027$263Kโ–ฒ 5.2%2028$276Kโ–ฒ 10.2%20232024Now
$290K$200K
Current
$295K
2026
Projected
$263K
โ†‘ 5.2% by 2027
Projected
$276K
โ†‘ 10.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.9%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Dearborn housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $235,979 sits comfortably below national averages, supported by a robust local economy tied to automotive engineering and education. With a Price-to-Rent ratio of 17.0x, which is slightly below the national average, the market remains relatively balanced for both owners and renters. The strong 5-year price change of 44.8% indicates that much of the post-pandemic surge has already been realized, pointing toward a moderation in appreciation rates closer to the historical CAGR of 7.6% as affordability constraints begin to bite.

For those asking will Dearborn home prices drop, the data suggests a floor is likely in place due to the market's 69/100 temperature rating and an 'A' risk grade. While rapid appreciation may cool, significant declines are unlikely given the extremely low Days on Market of 20, which signals persistent buyer demand. Continued investment in the Ford River Rouge complex and proximity to Detroit's revitalization efforts will likely underpin values. However, affordability will be the key watchword; if mortgage rates remain elevated, the 4.3% YoY change could compress further, keeping the market accessible but less speculative.

By the time we reach Dearborn real estate Dearborn 2027, the market is expected to mature into a steady, low-volatility environment. The "Neutral" buy/rent verdict implies that neither investors nor first-time buyers face extreme pressure to act immediately, unlike in previous years. Local factors such as the stability of the manufacturing sector and the desirability of the city's diverse cultural amenities will prevent drastic downturns. Ultimately, Dearborn presents as a reliable, moderate-growth market where long-term equity building remains the primary play, rather than short-term flipping.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.9%
5yr CAGR
+5.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 100.6%
Months Supply 1.4
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 61%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Dearborn.

Total ROI
46%
on $59,000 invested
Annual ROI
7.8%
compounded
Total Return
$26,989
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,298
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y179kY2100kY3123kY4147kY5172k
Appreciation
$99,404
Cash Flow
-$72,415
Final Equity
$172,234

* Estimates based on 6.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Dearborn

Property

Purchase Price$295,000
Monthly Rent$1,029
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,180
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$14,160/ year
-24.0%
Cash-on-Cash
1.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,029
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,492
โˆ’ Property Tax$295
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$246
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$51
= Net Cash Flow-$1,180

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$59,000
Loan Amount
$236,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,209
Gross Yield
4.2%

Investor Toolkit

Research Dearborn before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026