Palm Coast
Investment Analysis

Palm Coast, FL
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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39
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.4%
Gross Yield
3.9%
P/R Ratio
19.1x
YoY Growth
-5.1%
Median Home Price
$352,700
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,159/mo
Median Income
$70,037
Population
102,106

Investment Breakdown

43
Value Score
0
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
51
Afford Score

Palm Coast has a price-to-rent ratio of 19.1x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -5.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,159
Annual Gross $13,908

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$441
Insurance (~0.5%) -$147
Maintenance (~1%) -$294
Est. Net Cash Flow $277/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Palm Coast Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$337K2027$372Kโ–ฒ 10.4%2028$378Kโ–ฒ 12.2%20232024Now
$397K$319K
Current
$353K
2026
Projected
$372K
โ†‘ 10.4% by 2027
Projected
$378K
โ†‘ 12.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.7%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.09
โ–ผ

The Palm Coast housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic swings. With the median home price at $337,266 and a recent YoY price change of -4.2%, the market is cooling from its pandemic-era highs. This correction is partly driven by affordability challenges, as the price-to-rent ratio sits at 21.4x, well above the national average of 18x. This makes buying less attractive compared to renting, a key factor in the current "RENT" verdict. For potential buyers asking "will Palm Coast home prices drop" further, the risk grade of A and the 5-year CAGR of 4.9% suggest a soft landing is more likely than a crash, supported by steady, long-term demand in this coastal community.

Local economic factors will heavily influence the path forward. Flagler County's steady in-migration from higher-cost states continues to provide a baseline of demand, but rising insurance premiums and property taxes are squeezing affordability, potentially slowing the pace of appreciation. The Days on Market is currently 60 days, indicating a more balanced market where buyers have time to negotiate. While the 5-year price change of 27.5% shows solid gains, the market temperature of 57/100 reflects a return to normalcy. For those eyeing Palm Coast real estate Palm Coast 2027, the outlook is cautiously optimistic. The area's appeal as a retirement and remote-work destination remains strong, but price growth will likely be constrained by economic headwinds, leading to a more sustainable and modest trajectory through 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+4.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.4%
Months Supply 5.4
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 22%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Palm Coast.

Total ROI
-129%
on $70,540 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$91,021
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,620
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y173kY277kY380kY483kY587k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$91,021
Final Equity
$87,075

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Palm Coast

Property

Purchase Price$352,700
Monthly Rent$1,159
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,454
Monthly Cash Flow
-$17,448/ year
-24.7%
Cash-on-Cash
1.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,159
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,783
โˆ’ Property Tax$353
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$294
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$58
= Net Cash Flow-$1,454

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$70,540
Loan Amount
$282,160
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,613
Gross Yield
3.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026