Wichita Falls
Investment Analysis

Wichita Falls, TX
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

22.2x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.5%
Recorded YoY field
-1.1%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$225,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$843/mo
Median Income
$60,772
Population
102,683

Housing Screening Context

Wichita Falls has a computed screening multiple of 22.2x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.5%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -1.1%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $843
Annual Gross $10,116

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$281
Insurance (~0.5%) -$94
Maintenance (~1%) -$188
Est. Net Cash Flow $281/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Wichita Falls Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$177K2027$189Kโ–ฒ 6.6%2028$195Kโ–ฒ 9.8%20232024Now
$204K$162K
Current
$225K
2026
Projected
$189K
โ†‘ 6.6% by 2027
Projected
$195K
โ†‘ 9.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.7%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.73
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Wichita Falls housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. With a median home price of $165,644 and a price-to-rent ratio of 14.7x, the market remains significantly more affordable than the national average, which supports continued buyer interest. However, the recent YoY price change of -1.2% indicates that the rapid appreciation seen over the past five years (a 5-year CAGR of 6.0%) is cooling. For potential buyers asking 'will Wichita Falls home prices drop,' the answer appears to be a gentle plateau rather than a sharp decline, supported by a low risk grade of A and a market temperature of 58/100 that leans balanced.

Local economic factors will play a crucial role in shaping the trajectory of Wichita Falls real estate Wichita Falls 2027. The areaโ€™s affordability, with median rent at $843/mo, attracts budget-conscious residents, but limited high-wage industry growth could cap significant price surges. Days on market averaging 56 days indicates a market that is neither freezing nor frenzied, giving buyers slightly more leverage than in previous years. While the 5-year price range of $122,984 โ€“ $167,732 shows consistent value retention, external factors like interest rates and regional job stability will be the true drivers. Ultimately, the 'BUY' verdict is compelling for long-term residents seeking stability, though investors should expect modest returns compared to hotter markets.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.3%
5yr CAGR
+4.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 90.6%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 6%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Wichita Falls.

Total ROI
-115%
on $45,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$51,605
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$935
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y147kY249kY351kY453kY556k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$51,605
Final Equity
$55,548

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Wichita Falls

Property

Purchase Price$225,000
Monthly Rent$843
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$874
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$10,492/ year
-23.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$843
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,138
โˆ’ Property Tax$225
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$188
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$42
= Net Cash Flow-$874

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$45,000
Loan Amount
$180,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,717
Gross Yield
4.5%

Investor Toolkit

Research Wichita Falls before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026