Elizabeth
Investment Analysis

Elizabeth, NJ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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59
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.2%
P/R Ratio
20.4x
YoY Growth
+3.8%
Median Home Price
$650,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,743/mo
Median Income
$71,715
Population
135,836

Investment Breakdown

39
Value Score
88
Growth Score
80
Safety Score
38
Afford Score

Elizabeth has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.4x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,743
Annual Gross $20,916

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$813
Insurance (~0.5%) -$271
Maintenance (~1%) -$542
Est. Net Cash Flow $118/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Elizabeth Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$530K2027$589Kโ–ฒ 11.1%2028$628Kโ–ฒ 18.5%20232024Now
$660K$403K
Current
$650K
2026
Projected
$589K
โ†‘ 11.1% by 2027
Projected
$628K
โ†‘ 18.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.9%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.98
โ–ผ

Looking at the Elizabeth housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of moderation rather than a dramatic shift. The run-up has been significant, with a 56.2% five-year price change and a 9.2% CAGR, pushing the median home price to $530,221. While the annual appreciation has cooled to 3.6%, properties are still moving quickly, with a 35 day average on market. The core question, "will Elizabeth home prices drop," is complicated by the area's economic fundamentals. Proximity to Newark Liberty International Airport and ongoing commercial development continue to support housing demand, but affordability is becoming a serious headwind for the local workforce, potentially capping further price surges.

The current market temperature of 60/100 and an "A" risk grade indicate a stable, if slightly warm, environment. However, the price-to-rent ratio of 22.5ร— (versus a national average of 18x) is a critical signal. This imbalance, alongside a median rent of just $1,743/mo, heavily supports the "RENT" verdict for investors seeking immediate cash flow. For those tracking the Elizabeth real estate Elizabeth 2027 landscape, the key dynamic will be the tension between constrained inventory and buyer fatigue. New residential developments may ease supply pressure, but the city's logistical economy provides a durable employment base that should prevent any significant downturn.

Ultimately, the forecast for the next few years points toward stability with modest growth. Expect price appreciation to track closer to historical inflation rates rather than the double-digit gains of the recent past. The market is unlikely to crash given the fundamental demand drivers, but the high price-to-rent ratio suggests that pure investment plays might find better yields elsewhere. For owner-occupants, the market remains viable but requires careful budgeting against rising carrying costs. Elizabeth's position as a key transportation hub will continue to be its greatest asset, anchoring values even as broader economic conditions fluctuate.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+8.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

81
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 101.3%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 6%
Gone in 2 Wks 14%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Elizabeth.

Total ROI
-45%
on $130,000 invested
Annual ROI
-11.4%
compounded
Total Return
-$58,993
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,359
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1160kY2191kY3224kY4258kY5294k
Appreciation
$133,249
Cash Flow
-$192,242
Final Equity
$293,722

* Estimates based on 3.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Elizabeth

Property

Purchase Price$650,000
Monthly Rent$1,743
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,948
Monthly Cash Flow
-$35,371/ year
-27.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,743
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,287
โˆ’ Property Tax$650
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$542
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$87
= Net Cash Flow-$2,948

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$130,000
Loan Amount
$520,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,691
Gross Yield
3.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026