Folsom
Investment Analysis

Folsom, CA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

28.9x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.5%
Recorded YoY field
-2.7%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$735,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,123/mo
Median Income
$124,531
Population
84,775

Housing Screening Context

Folsom has a computed screening multiple of 28.9x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.5%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -2.7%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,123
Annual Gross $25,476

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$919
Insurance (~0.5%) -$306
Maintenance (~1%) -$613
Est. Net Cash Flow $286/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Folsom Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
➡️ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$765K2027$777K 1.6%2028$777K 1.5%20232024Now
$832K$727K
Current
$735K
2026
Projected
$777K
1.6% by 2027
Projected
$777K
1.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.2%
Confidence:Low
R²:0.00

Looking at the Folsom housing market forecast through 2028, we're seeing a market that is recalibrating rather than retreating. The recent -2.2% YoY price dip, while modest, signals a necessary cooling given the current $744,485 median home price. With a price-to-rent ratio of 26.0x—significantly above the national average of 18x—the numbers clearly point to renting as the financially prudent choice for now, a verdict underlined by the "RENT" verdict. Still, the market isn't stagnant; the 28 days on market indicates continued, albeit more measured, demand. For potential buyers asking will Folsom home prices drop further, the A- risk grade suggests the area has strong fundamentals that will likely prevent a sharp correction, even if the explosive growth of the past five years—which saw a 18.0% total increase—is behind us.

For the Folsom real estate Folsom 2027 outlook, much depends on local economic stability and the broader interest rate environment. Folsom's economy, anchored by state government and tech sectors, provides a buffer against severe downturns, but affordability remains a key constraint. The median rent of $2,123/mo offers a more accessible entry point compared to the high barrier of homeownership. The market's 5-year CAGR of 3.3% provides a realistic baseline for future appreciation, suggesting that prices will likely stabilize and see modest, single-digit growth rather than dramatic swings. The market temperature of 67/100 reflects a balanced state, not the overheated conditions of recent years. Ultimately, Folsom's appeal as a family-friendly community with solid amenities will support values, but expect a period of consolidation where price growth aligns more closely with local income levels rather than speculative fervor.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+1.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 99.7%
Months Supply 1.9
Price Drops 42%
Gone in 2 Wks 45%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Folsom.

Total ROI
-141%
on $147,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$207,902
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,654
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1153kY2159kY3166kY4174kY5181k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$207,902
Final Equity
$181,458

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Folsom

Property

Purchase Price$735,000
Monthly Rent$2,123
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,172
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$38,067/ year
-25.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,123
− Mortgage (P&I)$3,717
− Property Tax$735
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$613
− Vacancy Loss$106
= Net Cash Flow-$3,172

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$147,000
Loan Amount
$588,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,295
Gross Yield
3.5%

Investor Toolkit

Research Folsom before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026