Folsom
Investment Analysis

Folsom, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
41
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
23.4x
YoY Growth
-2.7%
Median Home Price
$735,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,123/mo
Median Income
$124,531
Population
84,775

Investment Breakdown

30
Value Score
23
Growth Score
81
Safety Score
41
Afford Score

Folsom has a price-to-rent ratio of 23.4x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.7% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,123
Annual Gross $25,476

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$919
Insurance (~0.5%) -$306
Maintenance (~1%) -$613
Est. Net Cash Flow $286/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Folsom Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$744K2027$772K 3.7%2028$779K 4.7%20232024Now
$818K$694K
Current
$735K
2026
Projected
$772K
3.7% by 2027
Projected
$779K
4.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.0%
Confidence:Low
R²:0.11

Looking at the Folsom housing market forecast through 2028, we're seeing a market that is recalibrating rather than retreating. The recent -2.2% YoY price dip, while modest, signals a necessary cooling given the current $744,485 median home price. With a price-to-rent ratio of 26.0x—significantly above the national average of 18x—the numbers clearly point to renting as the financially prudent choice for now, a verdict underlined by the "RENT" verdict. Still, the market isn't stagnant; the 28 days on market indicates continued, albeit more measured, demand. For potential buyers asking will Folsom home prices drop further, the A- risk grade suggests the area has strong fundamentals that will likely prevent a sharp correction, even if the explosive growth of the past five years—which saw a 18.0% total increase—is behind us.

For the Folsom real estate Folsom 2027 outlook, much depends on local economic stability and the broader interest rate environment. Folsom's economy, anchored by state government and tech sectors, provides a buffer against severe downturns, but affordability remains a key constraint. The median rent of $2,123/mo offers a more accessible entry point compared to the high barrier of homeownership. The market's 5-year CAGR of 3.3% provides a realistic baseline for future appreciation, suggesting that prices will likely stabilize and see modest, single-digit growth rather than dramatic swings. The market temperature of 67/100 reflects a balanced state, not the overheated conditions of recent years. Ultimately, Folsom's appeal as a family-friendly community with solid amenities will support values, but expect a period of consolidation where price growth aligns more closely with local income levels rather than speculative fervor.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+3%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 37%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Folsom.

Total ROI
-141%
on $147,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$207,902
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,654
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1153kY2159kY3166kY4174kY5181k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$207,902
Final Equity
$181,458

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Folsom

Property

Purchase Price$735,000
Monthly Rent$2,123
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,172
Monthly Cash Flow
-$38,067/ year
-25.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,123
− Mortgage (P&I)$3,717
− Property Tax$735
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$613
− Vacancy Loss$106
= Net Cash Flow-$3,172

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$147,000
Loan Amount
$588,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$5,295
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026