Fort Worth
Investment Analysis

Fort Worth, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
41
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.0%
Gross Yield
5.0%
P/R Ratio
15.0x
YoY Growth
-3.4%
Median Home Price
$332,995
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,384/mo
Median Income
$77,082
Population
976,932

Investment Breakdown

55
Value Score
16
Growth Score
41
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Fort Worth has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.0x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.4% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,384
Annual Gross $16,608

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$416
Insurance (~0.5%) -$139
Maintenance (~1%) -$277
Est. Net Cash Flow $552/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fort Worth Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$292K2027$319Kโ–ฒ 9.3%2028$326Kโ–ฒ 11.7%20232024Now
$343K$278K
Current
$333K
2026
Projected
$319K
โ†‘ 9.3% by 2027
Projected
$326K
โ†‘ 11.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.6%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.23
โ–ผ

The Fort Worth housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization and modest appreciation, moving away from the volatility of recent years. With the median home price at $292,122 and a recent YoY Price Change of -3.0%, the market is clearly cooling from its peak. However, a 5-year price change of 27.1% indicates strong underlying equity growth. The current Market Temperature of 61/100 and a Risk Grade of A signal that while the frantic pace has slowed, the fundamentals remain solid for long-term holders.

When locals ask, "will Fort Worth home prices drop" significantly, the data suggests a soft landing rather than a crash. The Price-to-Rent Ratio of 16.2x remains below the national average, keeping the market accessible compared to other major metros. Factors like the continued expansion of AllianceTexas and the burgeoning healthcare and logistics sectors in Fort Worth will likely provide a floor for demand. The Days on Market of 47 days gives buyers more breathing room, but inventory isn't ballooning to crisis levels. For those analyzing Fort Worth real estate Fort Worth 2027, the 4.8% 5-Year CAGR offers a realistic benchmark for expected growth.

The Buy/Rent Verdict remains NEUTRAL, reflecting a balanced playing field. Affordability is a key local factor; while prices are moderating, interest rates and wage growth in the region will dictate the pace of recovery. Unlike overheated coastal markets, Fort Worth's price range, which has historically fluctuated between $229,885 and $321,802 over the past five years, offers stability. Ultimately, the forecast points to a healthy normalization. Buyers shouldn't expect bargains, but sellers can no longer name their price. The outlook is for steady, single-digit gains driven by local economic expansion rather than speculative fervor.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.2%
5yr CAGR
+4.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.1%
Months Supply 5.5
Price Drops 29%
Gone in 2 Wks 16%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Fort Worth.

Total ROI
-102%
on $66,599 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$67,873
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,254
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y169kY272kY375kY479kY582k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$67,873
Final Equity
$82,210

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Fort Worth

Property

Purchase Price$332,995
Monthly Rent$1,384
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,104
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,254/ year
-19.9%
Cash-on-Cash
2.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,384
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,684
โˆ’ Property Tax$333
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$277
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$69
= Net Cash Flow-$1,104

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$66,599
Loan Amount
$266,396
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,488
Gross Yield
5.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026