Fullerton
Investment Analysis

Fullerton, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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35
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.8%
P/R Ratio
29.9x
YoY Growth
-0.8%
Median Home Price
$952,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,252/mo
Median Income
$97,427
Population
139,254

Investment Breakdown

10
Value Score
42
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Fullerton has a price-to-rent ratio of 29.9x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.8% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,252
Annual Gross $27,024

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,191
Insurance (~0.5%) -$397
Maintenance (~1%) -$794
Est. Net Cash Flow -$129/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fullerton Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$1M2027$1Mโ–ฒ 9.2%2028$1Mโ–ฒ 14.4%20232024Now
$1M$829K
Current
$953K
2026
Projected
$1M
โ†‘ 9.2% by 2027
Projected
$1M
โ†‘ 14.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.88
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Fullerton housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than significant growth or decline. Currently, the median home price sits at $1,011,209, representing a slight year-over-year decrease of -1.2%. This cooling follows a robust 5-year price change of 37.4%, which saw values climb from a range of $735,783 โ€“ $1,023,252. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 33.3xโ€”significantly higher than the national average of 18xโ€”affordability remains a critical hurdle. Buyers will continue to face steep barriers, keeping downward pressure on prices, though the market temperature of 69/100 indicates it is still more active than a truly stagnant market.

When asking will Fullerton home prices drop significantly, local economic factors provide the answer. Fullerton benefits from a diverse economy anchored by California State University, robust healthcare services, and its role as a commuter hub within Orange County. However, these strengths are currently counterbalanced by broader affordability constraints. The median rent of $2,252/mo offers a slight alternative for those priced out of purchasing, but the low Days on Market of 21 days shows that desirable inventory still moves quickly. As we look toward Fullerton real estate Fullerton 2027, the 5-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% is unlikely to be sustained at the same pace; instead, expect more modest, single-digit appreciation as the market digests recent gains.

Overall, the outlook for 2026-2028 is one of equilibrium. With a Risk Grade of B, the market is considered relatively stable compared to more volatile regions, but the RENT verdict suggests that for purely financial returns, renting may currently hold an edge over buying in this specific market. Investors and prospective homeowners should anticipate a "wait-and-see" approach from buyers, keeping prices range-bound. While a sharp crash is unlikely given the limited supply and strong local demand, the era of rapid double-digit appreciation appears to be over, replaced by a more normalized, sustainable growth trajectory.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.5%
5yr CAGR
+6.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 100.5%
Months Supply 2.5
Price Drops 16%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Fullerton.

Total ROI
-158%
on $190,500 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$300,546
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$5,210
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1198kY2207kY3216kY4225kY5235k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$300,546
Final Equity
$235,154

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Fullerton

Property

Purchase Price$952,500
Monthly Rent$2,252
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$4,548
Monthly Cash Flow
-$54,579/ year
-28.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,252
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$4,816
โˆ’ Property Tax$953
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$794
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$113
= Net Cash Flow-$4,548

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$190,500
Loan Amount
$762,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$6,800
Gross Yield
2.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026