Greeley
Investment Analysis

Greeley, CO
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
42
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
22.5x
YoY Growth
-1.5%
Median Home Price
$412,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,190/mo
Median Income
$63,526
Population
112,614

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
35
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
54
Afford Score

Greeley has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.5x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.5% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,190
Annual Gross $14,280

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$516
Insurance (~0.5%) -$172
Maintenance (~1%) -$344
Est. Net Cash Flow $159/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Greeley Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$415K2027$436Kโ–ฒ 5.1%2028$443Kโ–ฒ 6.9%20232024Now
$465K$392K
Current
$413K
2026
Projected
$436K
โ†‘ 5.1% by 2027
Projected
$443K
โ†‘ 6.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.4%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.33
โ–ผ

For anyone mapping out a Greeley housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than breakout growth. The current median home price of $414,557 sits against a more cautious backdrop, with a recent YoY price change of -1.5%. While the 5-year price change remains positive at 19.8% (a 3.6% CAGR), the marketโ€™s temperature reading of 61/100 indicates a leveling off from the post-pandemic frenzy. The primary question on many minds is: will Greeley home prices drop further? The answer likely lies in the tension between local economic fundamentals and broader affordability pressures. Greeleyโ€™s growth is closely tied to the energy sector and its proximity to the Front Range, which could provide a floor for prices, but the current pace suggests stagnation is more probable than a sharp decline.

A critical factor in this forecast is the stark affordability gap revealed by the price-to-rent ratio of 25.4x, which is significantly higher than the national average of 18x. With median rent at just $1,190/mo, the financial logic heavily favors renting over buying, supporting the "RENT" verdict. This dynamic will likely suppress buyer demand, keeping days on market elevated at 46. For investors, this means cash flow is challenging to achieve at current prices. For the broader Greeley real estate Greeley 2027 outlook, expect a market defined by cautious buyers and patient sellers. The strong A risk grade provides some stability, but without a significant catalyst like a major local employer expansion or a dip in interest rates, a rapid recovery seems unlikely. The forecast points toward a stable but slow-moving market where affordability remains the central constraint.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+3.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

82
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.6%
Months Supply 5.6
Price Drops 22%
Gone in 2 Wks 22%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Greeley.

Total ROI
-142%
on $82,500 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$116,772
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,052
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y186kY289kY393kY497kY5102k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$116,772
Final Equity
$101,839

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Greeley

Property

Purchase Price$412,500
Monthly Rent$1,190
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,837
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,039/ year
-26.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,190
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,086
โˆ’ Property Tax$413
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$344
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$60
= Net Cash Flow-$1,837

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$82,500
Loan Amount
$330,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,027
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026