Hattiesburg
Investment Analysis

Hattiesburg, MS
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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63
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.2%
Gross Yield
7.1%
P/R Ratio
16.2x
YoY Growth
+2.3%
Median Home Price
$153,600
Average Rent (1BR)
$906/mo
Median Income
$44,140
Population
48,507

Investment Breakdown

51
Value Score
73
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Hattiesburg has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.2x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 4.2% is around the national average.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.3% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $906
Annual Gross $10,872

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$192
Insurance (~0.5%) -$64
Maintenance (~1%) -$128
Est. Net Cash Flow $522/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Hattiesburg Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$214K2027$224Kโ–ฒ 4.7%2028$232Kโ–ฒ 8.2%20232024Now
$243K$186K
Current
$154K
2026
Projected
$224K
โ†‘ 4.7% by 2027
Projected
$232K
โ†‘ 8.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.5%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.92
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Hattiesburg housing market forecast suggests a period of steady, manageable growth rather than explosive gains. The current median home price of $214,145 sits in a comfortable position relative to the broader region, supported by a healthy price-to-rent ratio of 17.8x that is actually slightly below the national average. This indicates that the local rental market remains competitive, potentially keeping a floor under home values as investors and prospective buyers weigh the financial merits of purchasing versus renting. With a market temperature of 61/100, conditions are balanced, favoring neither a strong sellerโ€™s market nor a buyerโ€™s advantage.

When asking the critical question, will Hattiesburg home prices drop, the data points to stability over decline. A historical 5-year price change of 25.7% (CAGR of 4.6%) combined with a modest YoY change of 2.3% signals a maturing market that is shedding the volatility seen in prior years. The risk grade of A underscores the area's economic resilience, which is largely anchored by The University of Southern Mississippi, Forrest General Hospital, and a growing regional logistics hub. These institutions provide a stable employment base that can sustain housing demand. However, affordability will be a key watchword; as prices continue their slow climb, local wage growth will need to keep pace to maintain the market's accessibility.

For those evaluating Hattiesburg real estate Hattiesburg 2027 prospects, the outlook is cautiously optimistic. The current average days on market of 48 suggests homes are still selling at a reasonable pace without the frenetic bidding wars of 2021. The neutral buy/rent verdict aligns with this view, highlighting that while building equity is possible, the immediate financial difference between owning and renting is minimal. Ultimately, Hattiesburg's path forward will likely mirror its recent past: a gradual, inflation-matching appreciation driven by steady population growth and its role as a regional educational and medical hub. This environment creates a solid foundation for long-term homeowners but may not yield the rapid appreciation seen in larger metropolitan areas.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+4.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

58
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Hattiesburg.

Total ROI
13%
on $30,720 invested
Annual ROI
2.6%
compounded
Total Return
$4,123
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$324
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y136kY241kY346kY451kY557k
Appreciation
$18,748
Cash Flow
-$14,625
Final Equity
$56,669

* Estimates based on 2.3% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Hattiesburg

Property

Purchase Price$153,600
Monthly Rent$906
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$323
Monthly Cash Flow
-$3,871/ year
-12.6%
Cash-on-Cash
3.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$906
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$777
โˆ’ Property Tax$154
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$128
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$45
= Net Cash Flow-$323

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$30,720
Loan Amount
$122,880
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,229
Gross Yield
7.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026