Stillwater
Investment Analysis

Stillwater, OK
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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55
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.0%
P/R Ratio
22.7x
YoY Growth
+3.3%
Median Home Price
$295,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$743/mo
Median Income
$42,015
Population
48,818

Investment Breakdown

32
Value Score
83
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
63
Afford Score

Stillwater has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.7x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.3% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $743
Annual Gross $8,916

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$369
Insurance (~0.5%) -$123
Maintenance (~1%) -$246
Est. Net Cash Flow $6/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Stillwater Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$255K2027$267Kโ–ฒ 4.9%2028$277Kโ–ฒ 8.9%20232024Now
$291K$218K
Current
$295K
2026
Projected
$267K
โ†‘ 4.9% by 2027
Projected
$277K
โ†‘ 8.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.94
โ–ผ

Looking at the Stillwater housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data paints a picture of a stable but decelerating environment. The current median home price of $254,538 has seen a modest 5-year price change of 29.6%, yet the recent YoY price change has cooled to just 2.9%. With a market temperature of 67/100 and days on market at 26, demand remains present but is no longer frenzied. The primary question for potential buyers is: will Stillwater home prices drop? Given the high price-to-rent ratio of 25.4xโ€”significantly above the national average of 18xโ€”the market is stretched. This suggests that price growth will likely plateau or see minimal gains as affordability constraints cap further appreciation.

The local economy, anchored by Oklahoma State University, provides a steady employment base that should prevent any drastic downturns, but the affordability gap is a real concern for the broader Stillwater real estate Stillwater 2027 landscape. With median rent at just $743/mo, the financial incentive strongly favors renting over buying, which could soften buyer demand. The 5-year CAGR of 5.2% indicates solid historical performance, but the risk grade of A and the "RENT" verdict highlight that current valuations are demanding. While a major crash is unlikely due to consistent local demand, the combination of high price-to-rent ratios and slowing growth points toward a period of normalization rather than explosive gains. Investors and homebuyers should prepare for a balanced market where significant equity growth is harder to achieve.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.1%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

64
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 95.4%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 45%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Stillwater.

Total ROI
-66%
on $59,000 invested
Annual ROI
-19.5%
compounded
Total Return
-$39,088
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,570
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y171kY283kY396kY4110kY5124k
Appreciation
$51,156
Cash Flow
-$90,244
Final Equity
$123,986

* Estimates based on 3.3% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Stillwater

Property

Purchase Price$295,000
Monthly Rent$743
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,452
Monthly Cash Flow
-$17,420/ year
-29.5%
Cash-on-Cash
0.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$743
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,492
โˆ’ Property Tax$295
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$246
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$37
= Net Cash Flow-$1,452

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$59,000
Loan Amount
$236,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,195
Gross Yield
3.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026