Joliet
Investment Analysis

Joliet, IL
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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60
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.6%
Gross Yield
6.0%
P/R Ratio
12.3x
YoY Growth
+2.1%
Median Home Price
$299,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,507/mo
Median Income
$86,054
Population
147,944

Investment Breakdown

63
Value Score
71
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Joliet has a price-to-rent ratio of 12.3x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.1% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,507
Annual Gross $18,084

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$375
Insurance (~0.5%) -$125
Maintenance (~1%) -$250
Est. Net Cash Flow $757/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Joliet Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$255K2027$276Kโ–ฒ 8.5%2028$291Kโ–ฒ 14.2%20232024Now
$305K$206K
Current
$300K
2026
Projected
$276K
โ†‘ 8.5% by 2027
Projected
$291K
โ†‘ 14.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.98
โ–ผ

Our Joliet housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward steady, sustainable growth, driven by its compelling affordability relative to the broader Chicago metro. With a median home price of $254,571 and a price-to-rent ratio of just 13.2xโ€”significantly below the national average of 18xโ€”the area remains a magnet for first-time buyers and investors. The recent 5-year price change of 39.5% shows strong momentum, but the current YoY price change of just 1.6% suggests the market is settling into a more normalized, less speculative phase. Given the low Days on Market of 19 and a Market Temperature of 69/100, demand remains healthy, but the risk grade of 'A' indicates a stable environment unlikely to see a sharp correction. This leads us to address the common question: will Joliet home prices drop? The data suggests not; instead, expect modest appreciation as affordability continues to be a key local factor.

Looking toward Joliet real estate Joliet 2027 and beyond, several local economic factors will shape the trajectory. The city's ongoing infrastructure investments and its position as a logistics hub in Will County continue to support job growth, which underpins housing demand. However, potential headwinds like property tax burdens and the pace of new construction will need monitoring. The current buy/rent verdict of BUY highlights the opportunity for entry before prices climb further, especially as the 5-year CAGR of 6.8% outpaces many national inflation metrics. While the market is not as hot as it was during the peak of the 5-year period, the fundamentals remain strong. The forecast for 2026-2028 is one of balanced expansion, where prices are expected to rise steadily rather than surging, making Joliet a reliable market for long-term homeownership rather than short-term speculation.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.0%
5yr CAGR
+6.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

77
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 2.8
Price Drops 15%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Joliet.

Total ROI
-19%
on $59,980 invested
Annual ROI
-4.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$11,392
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$882
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y169kY278kY388kY497kY5108k
Appreciation
$33,492
Cash Flow
-$44,885
Final Equity
$107,532

* Estimates based on 2.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Joliet

Property

Purchase Price$299,900
Monthly Rent$1,507
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$760
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,115/ year
-15.2%
Cash-on-Cash
3.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,507
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,516
โˆ’ Property Tax$300
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$250
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$75
= Net Cash Flow-$760

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$59,980
Loan Amount
$239,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,267
Gross Yield
6.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026