Visalia
Investment Analysis

Visalia, CA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

32.9x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
3.0%
Recorded YoY field
+1.0%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$390,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$989/mo
Median Income
$79,777
Population
145,005

Housing Screening Context

Visalia has a computed screening multiple of 32.9x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.0%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +1.0%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $989
Annual Gross $11,868

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$488
Insurance (~0.5%) -$163
Maintenance (~1%) -$325
Est. Net Cash Flow $14/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Visalia Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$399K2027$417Kโ–ฒ 4.5%2028$428Kโ–ฒ 7.2%20232024Now
$449K$356K
Current
$390K
2026
Projected
$417K
โ†‘ 4.5% by 2027
Projected
$428K
โ†‘ 7.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.3%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.73
โ–ผ

Our Visalia housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization and modest growth, rather than a dramatic shift. The current median home price of $388,751 has seen a significant run-up, with a 5-year price change of 33.3% and a CAGR of 5.8%. However, the recent YoY price change of just 0.6% indicates that the rapid appreciation is cooling. For those asking will Visalia home prices drop, the data points to a plateau rather than a steep decline. With a market temperature of 68/100 and a healthy risk grade of A-, the market is balanced but leaning slightly toward buyers, especially as inventory slowly increases. The 23-day average days on market shows properties are still moving, but not with the frenzy seen in previous years.

Affordability remains the central story for Visalia real estate Visalia 2027 and beyond. The price-to-rent ratio stands at a high 28.3x, well above the national average of 18x, which strongly supports the current "RENT" verdict for investors and those weighing the buy versus rent decision. The local economy, heavily reliant on agriculture and with growing logistics and healthcare sectors, provides a stable employment base that should prevent any major price corrections. However, with median rent at just $989/mo, the rental market offers compelling value compared to the high cost of ownership. This affordability gap will likely keep demand from first-time buyers steady but constrained, supporting a slow and steady price trajectory rather than a boom.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+4.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 99.3%
Months Supply 3.9
Price Drops 29%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Visalia.

Total ROI
-127%
on $78,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$99,195
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,069
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y185kY292kY3100kY4108kY5116k
Appreciation
$19,691
Cash Flow
-$118,886
Final Equity
$115,975

* Estimates based on 1.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Visalia

Property

Purchase Price$390,000
Monthly Rent$989
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,873
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,470/ year
-28.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$989
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,972
โˆ’ Property Tax$390
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$325
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$49
= Net Cash Flow-$1,873

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$78,000
Loan Amount
$312,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,862
Gross Yield
3.0%

Investor Toolkit

Research Visalia before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026