Keene
Investment Analysis

Keene, NH
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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67
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.0%
Gross Yield
5.0%
P/R Ratio
15.6x
YoY Growth
+4.2%
Median Home Price
$350,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,471/mo
Median Income
$78,183
Population
22,923

Investment Breakdown

53
Value Score
92
Growth Score
85
Safety Score
41
Afford Score

Keene has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,471
Annual Gross $17,652

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$438
Insurance (~0.5%) -$146
Maintenance (~1%) -$292
Est. Net Cash Flow $596/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Keene Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$335K2027$368Kโ–ฒ 10.0%2028$392Kโ–ฒ 17.2%20232024Now
$412K$266K
Current
$350K
2026
Projected
$368K
โ†‘ 10.0% by 2027
Projected
$392K
โ†‘ 17.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+9.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Keene home prices drop," the current data suggests stability rather than a correction. The Keene housing market forecast is underpinned by strong fundamentals: a Risk Grade: A and a Price-to-Rent Ratio: 16.9x that sits below the national average, indicating that owning remains relatively accessible compared to renting. With a Median Home Price: $334,719 and a YoY Price Change: 4.3%, the market has transitioned from the frantic appreciation of the past five yearsโ€”which saw a 5-Year Price Change: 62.2%โ€”into a more sustainable growth phase. The Market Temperature: 60/100 reflects a balanced environment where bidding wars are less common, evidenced by a Days on Market: 35.

Looking ahead to Keene real estate in Keene 2027 and 2028, the local economy will be the key driver. Keene's stability is anchored by its role as a regional hub for education and healthcare, coupled with a tight labor market that supports housing demand. However, affordability remains a headwind; the Median Rent: $1,471/mo is rising alongside home values, potentially pricing out first-time buyers if wages do not keep pace. New construction is likely to remain limited due to land constraints, which will keep supply tight and support prices even if broader economic growth slows.

The Buy/Rent Verdict: NEUTRAL accurately captures the landscape for the 2026-2028 window. While the 5-Year CAGR: 10.0% is unsustainable, a soft landing is probable. Buyers should not expect a significant dip in prices, but rather a gradual normalization of appreciation rates. For investors, the solid price-to-rent ratio offers decent cash flow potential, though cap rates will be compressed by high entry costs. Ultimately, Keene remains a low-risk, steady market driven by local demand rather than speculative frenzy, making it a reliable hold for long-term owners.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+9.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

84
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.7%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 12%
Gone in 2 Wks 37%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Keene.

Total ROI
13%
on $70,000 invested
Annual ROI
2.6%
compounded
Total Return
$9,411
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,303
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y188kY2106kY3125kY4145kY5166k
Appreciation
$79,733
Cash Flow
-$70,321
Final Equity
$166,141

* Estimates based on 4.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Keene

Property

Purchase Price$350,000
Monthly Rent$1,471
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,139
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,668/ year
-19.5%
Cash-on-Cash
2.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,471
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,770
โˆ’ Property Tax$350
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$292
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$74
= Net Cash Flow-$1,139

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$70,000
Loan Amount
$280,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,610
Gross Yield
5.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026