League City
Investment Analysis

League City, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
50
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.4%
Gross Yield
4.0%
P/R Ratio
19.3x
YoY Growth
-1.6%
Median Home Price
$374,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,252/mo
Median Income
$118,475
Population
117,520

Investment Breakdown

42
Value Score
34
Growth Score
84
Safety Score
50
Afford Score

League City has a price-to-rent ratio of 19.3x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,252
Annual Gross $15,024

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$468
Insurance (~0.5%) -$156
Maintenance (~1%) -$312
Est. Net Cash Flow $317/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ League City Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$363K2027$391Kโ–ฒ 7.8%2028$402Kโ–ฒ 10.7%20232024Now
$422K$342K
Current
$374K
2026
Projected
$391K
โ†‘ 7.8% by 2027
Projected
$402K
โ†‘ 10.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.56
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the League City housing market forecast suggests a period of consolidation rather than dramatic shifts. The current median home price of $363,174 sits near the upper end of its recent five-year range, and the slight -1.5% year-over-year price change indicates that the rapid appreciation of previous years is cooling. With a Days on Market of 41, the market is balanced but leaning slightly toward buyers, a trend likely to persist as higher interest rates continue to temper demand. The local economy, heavily tied to the Houston metro and the NASA Johnson Space Center, provides stable employment, but affordability challenges will keep a lid on aggressive price growth.

The central question for buyers is, will League City home prices drop significantly? While a major correction seems unlikely given the area's fundamentals, the elevated Price-to-Rent Ratio of 21.5x compared to the national average of 18x signals that buying remains expensive relative to renting. This is reflected in the "RENT" verdict, and the Market Temperature score of 63/100 confirms a cooling yet resilient market. For those tracking League City real estate League City 2027 prospects, the five-year compound annual growth rate of 4.3% offers a realistic baseline for appreciation, suggesting that prices will likely stabilize or see modest single-digit gains rather than a sharp downturn.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.4%
5yr CAGR
+4.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.2%
Months Supply 3.6
Price Drops 34%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for League City.

Total ROI
-127%
on $74,800 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$95,084
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,696
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y178kY281kY385kY488kY592k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$95,084
Final Equity
$92,334

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for League City

Property

Purchase Price$374,000
Monthly Rent$1,252
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,512
Monthly Cash Flow
-$18,149/ year
-24.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,252
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,891
โˆ’ Property Tax$374
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$312
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$63
= Net Cash Flow-$1,512

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$74,800
Loan Amount
$299,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,764
Gross Yield
4.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026