Ann Arbor
Investment Analysis

Ann Arbor, MI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
28.5x
YoY Growth
+3.0%
Median Home Price
$421,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,234/mo
Median Income
$76,207
Population
119,380

Investment Breakdown

15
Value Score
80
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Ann Arbor has a price-to-rent ratio of 28.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,234
Annual Gross $14,808

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$526
Insurance (~0.5%) -$175
Maintenance (~1%) -$351
Est. Net Cash Flow $182/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Ann Arbor Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$501K2027$527Kโ–ฒ 5.0%2028$548Kโ–ฒ 9.3%20232024Now
$576K$418K
Current
$421K
2026
Projected
$527K
โ†‘ 5.0% by 2027
Projected
$548K
โ†‘ 9.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

For anyone tracking the Ann Arbor housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than dramatic shifts. The current median price of $501,472 has seen a modest 2.6% year-over-year increase, a significant cooling from the 29.6% five-year surge that priced many out of the market. With a price-to-rent ratio of 30.9xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the market signals that buying is financially strenuous compared to leasing, supporting the current RENT verdict. Despite this, the Risk Grade of A and a low Days on Market of 36 indicate that while price growth is slowing, demand for the cityโ€™s prime locations remains resilient, driven by the University of Michiganโ€™s stable employment base.

Will Ann Arbor home prices drop? A significant crash is unlikely, but the 5.2% CAGR is expected to compress closer to inflation levels as affordability constraints bite. The local economy remains a primary anchor; the university and burgeoning tech corridor provide a floor for demand, but high interest rates and the city's premium cost of living will limit buyer pool expansion. If inventory remains this tight, prices will likely stagnate rather than fall, hovering in the $480,000โ€“$520,000 range. However, any uptick in university-related development or healthcare sector hiring could reignite competition. For the Ann Arbor real estate Ann Arbor 2027 outlook, the narrative is one of stability over volatility.

Ultimately, the market temperature of 64/100 reflects a balanced environment where sellers must price realistically, but buyers still face high entry costs. The 5-year price range of $386,881โ€“$501,473 shows a floor has been established, suggesting prices won't revert to pre-pandemic levels barring a major economic downturn. While the median rent of $1,234 remains relatively accessible compared to ownership costs, the sheer cost of purchasing keeps the rental market competitive. For the 2026-2028 window, expect a market characterized by patience; growth will be tethered to local wage increases and the city's ability to address housing supply constraints. The outlook is cautiously neutral, favoring long-term holders over speculative flippers.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.0%
Months Supply 4.1
Price Drops 15%
Gone in 2 Wks 40%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Ann Arbor.

Total ROI
-60%
on $84,200 invested
Annual ROI
-16.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$50,672
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,076
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1100kY2117kY3134kY4152kY5171k
Appreciation
$67,291
Cash Flow
-$117,964
Final Equity
$171,228

* Estimates based on 3.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Ann Arbor

Property

Purchase Price$421,000
Monthly Rent$1,234
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,853
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,240/ year
-26.4%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,234
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,129
โˆ’ Property Tax$421
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$351
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$62
= Net Cash Flow-$1,853

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$84,200
Loan Amount
$336,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,087
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026