Investment Breakdown
Mandan has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.
The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.
Year-over-year price growth of +6.3% shows strong appreciation momentum.
Rental Cash Flow Analysis
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Mandan Price Forecast 2026โ2028
For anyone evaluating the Mandan housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. The median home price of $331,371 sits against a backdrop of slowing momentum, with the current YoY price change at 6.1%โa figure that, while positive, reflects a cooling trend compared to the five-year CAGR of 5.8%. The market temperature score of 59/100 indicates a balanced but cautious environment. A critical question facing potential buyers is whether Mandan home prices will drop; while a significant crash seems unlikely given the area's strong Risk Grade: A, the high price-to-rent ratio of 30.5x compared to the national average of 18x suggests that price growth must slow to align with rental fundamentals.
Local economic factors will heavily influence this trajectory. Mandan benefits from its proximity to Bismarck and a stable regional economy anchored by agriculture, energy, and government sectors. However, the affordability constraint is real; with median rent at just $806/mo, the cost of buying is increasingly out of step with local income levels, pushing the verdict toward RENT for many. Days on market averaging 53 days shows homes are still moving, but not with the frantic speed of a seller's market. Looking at Mandan real estate in 2027, the outlook is for single-digit gains as inventory potentially stabilizes. While the 5-year price change of 33.4% demonstrates resilience, the path forward likely involves flatter growth curves rather than steep inclines.
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* Estimates based on 6.3% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Investment Summary
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: March 2026