New Haven
Investment Analysis

New Haven, CT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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56
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.7%
Gross Yield
4.5%
P/R Ratio
15.6x
YoY Growth
+4.2%
Median Home Price
$365,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,374/mo
Median Income
$51,158
Population
135,307

Investment Breakdown

53
Value Score
92
Growth Score
43
Safety Score
29
Afford Score

New Haven has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,374
Annual Gross $16,488

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$456
Insurance (~0.5%) -$152
Maintenance (~1%) -$304
Est. Net Cash Flow $462/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ New Haven Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$318K2027$341Kโ–ฒ 7.4%2028$361Kโ–ฒ 13.5%20232024Now
$379K$251K
Current
$365K
2026
Projected
$341K
โ†‘ 7.4% by 2027
Projected
$361K
โ†‘ 13.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.7%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.98
โ–ผ

Our New Haven housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of normalization and modest growth, following years of exceptional appreciation. The market has demonstrated remarkable resilience, with a 5-year price change of 47.5% and a 5-year CAGR of 7.9%, pushing the median home price to $317,708. However, the pace is clearly moderating, as seen in the current YoY price change of 4.4%. With a market temperature of 64/100 and a risk grade of A, New Haven remains a fundamentally stable environment, but the explosive growth of the post-pandemic era is likely behind us. The key question for potential buyers is: will New Haven home prices drop? A significant downturn seems unlikely given the area's underlying strengths.

Affordability will be the central theme for New Haven real estate New Haven 2027. The price-to-rent ratio of 17.4x is slightly below the national average, suggesting that buying is not yet prohibitively expensive compared to renting, which supports demand. This dynamic is bolstered by New Haven's robust economy, anchored by Yale University and a growing biotech sector, which provides a stable employment base. However, the 37 days on market indicates a balanced market where sellers must price competitively. The continued presence of Yale and the healthcare sector will likely prevent any price collapse, but the buy/rent verdict of NEUTRAL signals that investors and homeowners should not expect the rapid returns seen in the previous five-year period.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+7.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.1%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

85
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 103.3%
Months Supply 3.4
Price Drops 16%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Above Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for New Haven.

Total ROI
1%
on $73,000 invested
Annual ROI
0.2%
compounded
Total Return
$698
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,511
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y191kY2111kY3131kY4152kY5174k
Appreciation
$84,011
Cash Flow
-$83,312
Final Equity
$174,122

* Estimates based on 4.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for New Haven

Property

Purchase Price$365,000
Monthly Rent$1,374
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,335
Monthly Cash Flow
-$16,014/ year
-21.9%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,374
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,846
โˆ’ Property Tax$365
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$304
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$69
= Net Cash Flow-$1,335

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$73,000
Loan Amount
$292,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,709
Gross Yield
4.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026