Olathe
Investment Analysis

Olathe, KS
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
48
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.3%
Gross Yield
2.2%
P/R Ratio
33.1x
YoY Growth
+3.2%
Median Home Price
$463,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$839/mo
Median Income
$105,915
Population
147,466

Investment Breakdown

1
Value Score
82
Growth Score
81
Safety Score
57
Afford Score

Olathe has a price-to-rent ratio of 33.1x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $839
Annual Gross $10,068

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$579
Insurance (~0.5%) -$193
Maintenance (~1%) -$386
Est. Net Cash Flow -$319/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Olathe Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$419K2027$444Kโ–ฒ 6.0%2028$463Kโ–ฒ 10.5%20232024Now
$486K$360K
Current
$463K
2026
Projected
$444K
โ†‘ 6.0% by 2027
Projected
$463K
โ†‘ 10.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.90
โ–ผ

Based on our Olathe housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the market appears poised for a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth. With the median home price holding at $463,000 and a flat year-over-year change of 0.0%, the rapid appreciation seen in previous years is clearly cooling. A price-to-rent ratio of 46.0xโ€”more than double the national average of 18xโ€”signals significant affordability pressure. This imbalance, coupled with a 5-Year Price Change of 36.4%, suggests the market is absorbing past gains. For those asking if will Olathe home prices drop, the current data points toward a plateau rather than a sharp correction, as inventory levels and local economic fundamentals provide a floor under values.

Local economic drivers in Olathe, including steady job growth in the tech and logistics sectors tied to the Kansas City metro area, will continue to support housing demand. However, affordability remains a central challenge for prospective buyers, influencing the Market Temperature of 50/100 and a Risk Grade of C. The Days on Market of 35 indicates a balanced market where sellers must price competitively. For investors, the Median Rent of $839/mo versus the high purchase price makes the Buy/Rent Verdict a clear RENT recommendation for now. Looking ahead to Olathe real estate Olathe 2027, expect modest price movements, likely in the 1-3% annual range, as the market seeks equilibrium between buyer purchasing power and seller expectations.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.4%
5yr CAGR
+6.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.9%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.1%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Months Supply 3.0
Price Drops 17%
Gone in 2 Wks 46%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Olathe.

Total ROI
-90%
on $92,600 invested
Annual ROI
-36.5%
compounded
Total Return
-$83,055
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,775
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1111kY2131kY3151kY4172kY5193k
Appreciation
$78,975
Cash Flow
-$162,031
Final Equity
$193,281

* Estimates based on 3.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Olathe

Property

Purchase Price$463,000
Monthly Rent$839
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,518
Monthly Cash Flow
-$30,216/ year
-32.6%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$839
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,341
โˆ’ Property Tax$463
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$386
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$42
= Net Cash Flow-$2,518

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$92,600
Loan Amount
$370,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,357
Gross Yield
2.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026