Syracuse
Investment Analysis

Syracuse, NY
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

17.3x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
5.8%
Recorded YoY field
+4.7%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$190,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$916/mo
Median Income
$47,525
Population
145,573

Housing Screening Context

Syracuse has a computed screening multiple of 17.3x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 5.8%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: +4.7%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $916
Annual Gross $10,992

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$238
Insurance (~0.5%) -$79
Maintenance (~1%) -$158
Est. Net Cash Flow $441/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Syracuse Price Forecast 2026–2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$219K2027$237Kâ–² 8.1%2028$252Kâ–² 15.1%20232024Now
$265K$166K
Current
$190K
2026
Projected
$237K
↑ 8.1% by 2027
Projected
$252K
↑ 15.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.9%
Confidence:High
R²:0.98
â–¼

Our Syracuse housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization and modest, fundamentals-driven appreciation. After a remarkable 53.2% five-year price surge that culminated in a median home price of $190,000, the market has hit a temporary plateau, with year-over-year prices showing 0.0% change. This cooling is a natural correction, especially considering the area's strong affordability. With a price-to-rent ratio of 17.3x—just below the national average—Syracuse remains an attractive market for both homeowners and real estate investors compared to more overheated metros. The current market temperature of 50/100 and a Risk Grade of C reflect this balanced, less speculative environment.

For those asking if Syracuse home prices will drop, the data points toward stability rather than a significant downturn. The 35 days on market indicates homes are still selling at a healthy pace, supported by consistent demand from the education and healthcare sectors anchored by Syracuse University and a major hospital system. While the 8.8% five-year CAGR is unlikely to be replicated, the region's affordability should prevent substantial price declines. For potential buyers or those considering "Syracuse real estate Syracuse 2027," the Neutral verdict suggests that waiting for a major price drop may be less effective than focusing on finding a well-priced property in a desirable neighborhood as the market finds its new equilibrium.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.9%
5yr CAGR
+7.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 104.4%
Months Supply 3.7
Price Drops 20%
Gone in 2 Wks 64%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Syracuse.

Total ROI
48%
on $38,000 invested
Annual ROI
8.2%
compounded
Total Return
$18,425
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$596
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y149kY260kY371kY483kY596k
Appreciation
$49,277
Cash Flow
-$30,852
Final Equity
$96,185

* Estimates based on 4.7% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Syracuse

Property

Purchase Price$190,000
Monthly Rent$916
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$564
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$6,767/ year
-17.8%
Cash-on-Cash
2.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$916
− Mortgage (P&I)$961
− Property Tax$190
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$158
− Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$564

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$38,000
Loan Amount
$152,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,480
Gross Yield
5.8%

Investor Toolkit

Research Syracuse before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026