Syracuse
Investment Analysis

Syracuse, NY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
63
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.5%
Gross Yield
5.8%
P/R Ratio
15.1x
YoY Growth
+4.7%
Median Home Price
$190,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$916/mo
Median Income
$47,525
Population
145,573

Investment Breakdown

55
Value Score
97
Growth Score
43
Safety Score
55
Afford Score

Syracuse has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.1x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.7% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $916
Annual Gross $10,992

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$238
Insurance (~0.5%) -$79
Maintenance (~1%) -$158
Est. Net Cash Flow $441/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Syracuse Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$202K2027$221Kโ–ฒ 9.1%2028$235Kโ–ฒ 16.3%20232024Now
$247K$150K
Current
$190K
2026
Projected
$221K
โ†‘ 9.1% by 2027
Projected
$235K
โ†‘ 16.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.98
โ–ผ

Our Syracuse housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization and modest, fundamentals-driven appreciation. After a remarkable 53.2% five-year price surge that culminated in a median home price of $190,000, the market has hit a temporary plateau, with year-over-year prices showing 0.0% change. This cooling is a natural correction, especially considering the area's strong affordability. With a price-to-rent ratio of 17.3xโ€”just below the national averageโ€”Syracuse remains an attractive market for both homeowners and real estate investors compared to more overheated metros. The current market temperature of 50/100 and a Risk Grade of C reflect this balanced, less speculative environment.

For those asking if Syracuse home prices will drop, the data points toward stability rather than a significant downturn. The 35 days on market indicates homes are still selling at a healthy pace, supported by consistent demand from the education and healthcare sectors anchored by Syracuse University and a major hospital system. While the 8.8% five-year CAGR is unlikely to be replicated, the region's affordability should prevent substantial price declines. For potential buyers or those considering "Syracuse real estate Syracuse 2027," the Neutral verdict suggests that waiting for a major price drop may be less effective than focusing on finding a well-priced property in a desirable neighborhood as the market finds its new equilibrium.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.1%
5yr CAGR
+8.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.3%
Months Supply 2.4
Price Drops 19%
Gone in 2 Wks 45%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Syracuse.

Total ROI
48%
on $38,000 invested
Annual ROI
8.2%
compounded
Total Return
$18,425
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$596
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y149kY260kY371kY483kY596k
Appreciation
$49,277
Cash Flow
-$30,852
Final Equity
$96,185

* Estimates based on 4.7% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Syracuse

Property

Purchase Price$190,000
Monthly Rent$916
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$564
Monthly Cash Flow
-$6,767/ year
-17.8%
Cash-on-Cash
2.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$916
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$961
โˆ’ Property Tax$190
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$158
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$564

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$38,000
Loan Amount
$152,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,480
Gross Yield
5.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026