Owensboro, KY
Housing Market Screening
City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.
City-level screening
Home price / annualized 1BR rent
Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.
Housing Screening Context
Owensboro has a computed screening multiple of 19.7x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 5.1%.
These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.
Recorded year-over-year price change: +3.2%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.
Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Owensboro Price Forecast 2026โ2028
The Owensboro housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than the rapid appreciation seen recently. The market has cooled from its fever pitch, with a current market temperature of 68/100 and a significant slowdown in the price growth rate to just 2.5% YoY from a robust five-year CAGR of 6.7%. This moderation is a natural response to broader economic pressures, yet Owensboro's fundamentals remain solid. The area's affordability continues to be a key draw, with a price-to-rent ratio of 17.6x hovering just below the national average, making it an attractive option for those entering the market. The local economy, anchored by manufacturing and healthcare, provides a stable employment base that should prevent any drastic downturns.
When considering whether Owensboro home prices will drop, the data points to resilience rather than a correction. The current median home price of $202,667 reflects a five-year gain of 39.0%, establishing a new, higher baseline. While growth is moderating, strong underlying demand keeps the market from tipping into a buyer's advantage, as evidenced by a swift average of 24 days on market. This sustained activity is fueled by Owensboro's quality of life and strategic location along the Ohio River, which continues to attract both families and investors. The "Neutral" buy/rent verdict indicates that while it's not a frenzy for immediate gains, purchasing remains a sound long-term strategy. This outlook for Owensboro real estate Owensboro 2027 hinges on the stability of local job growth and the city's ability to maintain its affordability edge over larger metropolitan areas.
Job Market
Healthcare
Risk Factors
Market Activity
Market Position
Similar Markets Compare with cities of similar size & cost
Decatur
Great Falls
Midwest City
Casper
Moore
Showing cities with similar population (30k - 90k) and cost of living index (72 - 108)
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* Estimates based on 3.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: July 2026