Owensboro
Investment Analysis

Owensboro, KY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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66
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.0%
Gross Yield
5.1%
P/R Ratio
15.4x
YoY Growth
+3.2%
Median Home Price
$196,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$830/mo
Median Income
$53,295
Population
60,112

Investment Breakdown

54
Value Score
82
Growth Score
75
Safety Score
60
Afford Score

Owensboro has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.4x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $830
Annual Gross $9,960

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$246
Insurance (~0.5%) -$82
Maintenance (~1%) -$164
Est. Net Cash Flow $339/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Owensboro Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$203K2027$219Kโ–ฒ 7.9%2028$230Kโ–ฒ 13.2%20232024Now
$241K$170K
Current
$197K
2026
Projected
$219K
โ†‘ 7.9% by 2027
Projected
$230K
โ†‘ 13.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

The Owensboro housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than the rapid appreciation seen recently. The market has cooled from its fever pitch, with a current market temperature of 68/100 and a significant slowdown in the price growth rate to just 2.5% YoY from a robust five-year CAGR of 6.7%. This moderation is a natural response to broader economic pressures, yet Owensboro's fundamentals remain solid. The area's affordability continues to be a key draw, with a price-to-rent ratio of 17.6x hovering just below the national average, making it an attractive option for those entering the market. The local economy, anchored by manufacturing and healthcare, provides a stable employment base that should prevent any drastic downturns.

When considering whether Owensboro home prices will drop, the data points to resilience rather than a correction. The current median home price of $202,667 reflects a five-year gain of 39.0%, establishing a new, higher baseline. While growth is moderating, strong underlying demand keeps the market from tipping into a buyer's advantage, as evidenced by a swift average of 24 days on market. This sustained activity is fueled by Owensboro's quality of life and strategic location along the Ohio River, which continues to attract both families and investors. The "Neutral" buy/rent verdict indicates that while it's not a frenzy for immediate gains, purchasing remains a sound long-term strategy. This outlook for Owensboro real estate Owensboro 2027 hinges on the stability of local job growth and the city's ability to maintain its affordability edge over larger metropolitan areas.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.8%
5yr CAGR
+6.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

66
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 3.0
Price Drops 39%
Gone in 2 Wks 39%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Owensboro.

Total ROI
-14%
on $39,300 invested
Annual ROI
-2.9%
compounded
Total Return
-$5,370
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$728
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y147kY256kY364kY473kY582k
Appreciation
$33,852
Cash Flow
-$39,222
Final Equity
$82,364

* Estimates based on 3.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Owensboro

Property

Purchase Price$196,500
Monthly Rent$830
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$690
Monthly Cash Flow
-$8,284/ year
-21.1%
Cash-on-Cash
1.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$830
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$994
โˆ’ Property Tax$197
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$164
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$42
= Net Cash Flow-$690

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$39,300
Loan Amount
$157,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,520
Gross Yield
5.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026