Plano, TX
Housing Market Screening
City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.
City-level screening
Home price / annualized 1BR rent
Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.
Housing Screening Context
Plano has a computed screening multiple of 32.2x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 3.1%.
These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.
Recorded year-over-year price change: -5.0%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.
Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.
Rental Cash Flow Analysis
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Price Forecast 2026–2028
🔮 Plano Price Forecast 2026–2028
Looking at the Plano housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. Currently, the median home price sits at $491,676 following a recent -4.8% year-over-year adjustment. While the 5-year CAGR remains healthy at 6.0%, the immediate cooling indicates that the explosive growth seen post-pandemic is moderating. This deceleration is largely influenced by persistent affordability constraints; with a price-to-rent ratio of 28.2x—significantly higher than the national average—buying remains a substantial financial leap compared to renting. For potential buyers asking "will Plano home prices drop" in the near term, the data points toward a soft landing rather than a steep decline, as the market temperature of 60/100 suggests balanced activity despite longer days on market (49 days).
For those evaluating Plano real estate Plano 2027 opportunities, local economic fundamentals will likely dictate the pace of recovery. Plano’s robust corporate presence, including major employers in technology and finance, provides a buffer against broader economic downturns, supporting wage growth that can sustain housing demand. However, affordability remains a critical hurdle. The median rent of $1,291/mo presents a compelling alternative for many, reinforcing the "RENT" verdict for the immediate future. As we move toward 2026-2027, inventory levels and interest rate trends will be the primary drivers. If borrowing costs ease, we may see a resurgence in buyer activity, but any price appreciation is likely to align more closely with inflation rather than the double-digit gains of the past. Ultimately, Plano’s high risk grade of A signals long-term stability, making it a solid hold for current homeowners while suggesting patience for those waiting to enter the market.
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Showing cities with similar population (144k - 432k) and cost of living index (83 - 124)
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* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: July 2026