Chandler
Investment Analysis

Chandler, AZ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
39
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.3%
P/R Ratio
24.2x
YoY Growth
-3.2%
Median Home Price
$524,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$105,393
Population
280,171

Investment Breakdown

27
Value Score
18
Growth Score
81
Safety Score
45
Afford Score

Chandler has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.2x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$656
Insurance (~0.5%) -$219
Maintenance (~1%) -$437
Est. Net Cash Flow $113/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chandler Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$516K2027$556Kโ–ฒ 7.7%2028$568Kโ–ฒ 9.9%20232024Now
$596K$485K
Current
$525K
2026
Projected
$556K
โ†‘ 7.7% by 2027
Projected
$568K
โ†‘ 9.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.0%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.24
โ–ผ

My Chandler housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of consolidation rather than explosive growth. Currently, the median home price sits at $516,460, reflecting a slight but notable YoY price change of -2.5%. This cooling is largely driven by eroding affordability and a price-to-rent ratio of 26.9x, which is significantly higher than the national average of 18x. For potential buyers asking will Chandler home prices drop further, the answer isn't straightforward. While the market temperature of 64/100 indicates it's not a red-hot seller's market, the risk grade of A suggests underlying economic stability. The tech sector's continued expansion in the Southeast Valley will provide a solid employment floor, but high interest rates will likely cap appreciation in the near term.

Looking toward 2027, the dynamics in Chandler real estate Chandler 2027 will be shaped by local economic fundamentals and shifting buyer behavior. With a 5-year price change of 29.7% and a 5-year CAGR of 5.2%, the area has seen substantial gains, and a correction period is natural. The current days on market of 37 shows that well-priced homes still move, but buyers have more leverage than in previous years. The "Buy/Rent Verdict" currently leans toward RENT, as the gap between monthly mortgage payments and the median rent of $1,424/mo remains wide. However, Chandler's strong local economy, driven by Intel and other tech giants, coupled with limited new construction in prime areas, should prevent a drastic price crash. Expect a balanced market where price growth aligns more closely with local wage increases rather than speculative investment.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+5%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.5%
Months Supply 4.8
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 34%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Chandler.

Total ROI
-147%
on $104,900 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$154,032
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,694
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1109kY2114kY3119kY4124kY5129k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$154,032
Final Equity
$129,489

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Chandler

Property

Purchase Price$524,500
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,386
Monthly Cash Flow
-$28,631/ year
-27.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,652
โˆ’ Property Tax$525
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$437
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$2,386

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$104,900
Loan Amount
$419,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,810
Gross Yield
3.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026