Portsmouth
Investment Analysis

Portsmouth, VA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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58
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.4%
Gross Yield
5.6%
P/R Ratio
14.2x
YoY Growth
-0.5%
Median Home Price
$275,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,287/mo
Median Income
$57,109
Population
96,793

Investment Breakdown

57
Value Score
45
Growth Score
79
Safety Score
53
Afford Score

Portsmouth has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.2x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.5% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,287
Annual Gross $15,444

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$344
Insurance (~0.5%) -$115
Maintenance (~1%) -$229
Est. Net Cash Flow $600/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Portsmouth Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$254K2027$279Kโ–ฒ 9.9%2028$293Kโ–ฒ 15.1%20232024Now
$307K$217K
Current
$275K
2026
Projected
$279K
โ†‘ 9.9% by 2027
Projected
$293K
โ†‘ 15.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.93
โ–ผ

The current Portsmouth housing market forecast suggests a period of consolidation rather than rapid appreciation. With a median home price of $254,301 and a recent YoY price change of -0.9%, the market has cooled from the aggressive gains of the past five years, which saw a 36% increase. The price-to-rent ratio of 15.2x remains below the national average, indicating that buying a home is still relatively affordable compared to renting, supporting a neutral buy/rent verdict. However, the market temperature score of 63/100 signals a balanced environment where sellers must price competitively. For those asking will Portsmouth home prices drop significantly, the data suggests a soft landing is more likely. The area's strong Risk Grade of A provides a buffer against volatility, but inventory levels and Days on Market averaging 39 days will be critical indicators to watch through 2026.

Looking toward Portsmouth real estate in 2027 and 2028, local economic factors will play a pivotal role in shaping price trajectory. The proximity to Naval Station Norfolk and the Port of Portsmouth provides a stable employment base, yet affordability constraints may limit buyer pool growth as interest rates potentially stabilize. The 5-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.2% offers a realistic baseline for future appreciation, suggesting that while explosive growth is unlikely, the area retains long-term value. Buyers and investors should monitor infrastructure developments and job market shifts specific to the Hampton Roads region. Ultimately, the forecast for the next three years points toward modest, sustainable growth. While rapid appreciation is in the rearview, the risk grade and favorable price-to-rent ratio suggest that Portsmouth remains a solid market for long-term holders rather than speculative flippers.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.4%
5yr CAGR
+6.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.0%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 35%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Portsmouth.

Total ROI
-86%
on $55,000 invested
Annual ROI
-32.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$47,073
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$899
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y157kY260kY362kY465kY568k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$47,073
Final Equity
$67,892

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Portsmouth

Property

Purchase Price$275,000
Monthly Rent$1,287
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$797
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,565/ year
-17.4%
Cash-on-Cash
2.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,287
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,391
โˆ’ Property Tax$275
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$229
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$64
= Net Cash Flow-$797

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$55,000
Loan Amount
$220,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,084
Gross Yield
5.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026