Yakima
Investment Analysis

Yakima, WA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
51
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.0%
P/R Ratio
22.3x
YoY Growth
+1.8%
Median Home Price
$394,999
Average Rent (1BR)
$997/mo
Median Income
$61,776
Population
96,739

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
68
Growth Score
63
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Yakima has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.3x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $997
Annual Gross $11,964

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$494
Insurance (~0.5%) -$165
Maintenance (~1%) -$329
Est. Net Cash Flow $10/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Yakima Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$351K2027$365Kโ–ฒ 3.8%2028$374Kโ–ฒ 6.5%20232024Now
$393K$309K
Current
$395K
2026
Projected
$365K
โ†‘ 3.8% by 2027
Projected
$374K
โ†‘ 6.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.83
โ–ผ

The Yakima housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth. With a current median price of $351,430 and a price-to-rent ratio of 25.4x, the market is notably stretched compared to the national average, which heavily favors renting over buying. The 1.4% year-over-year price change signals a significant cooling from the 24.5% gains seen over the previous five years, suggesting that Yakima home prices are unlikely to see the rapid appreciation they once did. For potential buyers asking "will Yakima home prices drop," the data indicates a plateau is more probable than a sharp correction, supported by a healthy risk grade of A and a moderate 41 days on market. The local agricultural and food processing economy, which anchors the region, provides a stable foundation but lacks the explosive job growth needed to reignite the double-digit gains of the past.

For those analyzing Yakima real estate Yakima 2027, affordability will remain the central challenge. The median rent of $997/month is significantly more accessible than ownership at current price levels, reinforcing the "RENT" verdict for the immediate future. While the area's 5-year CAGR of 4.4% remains respectable, the market temperature of 63/100 indicates a shift toward balance rather than the seller's market of previous years. Population growth tied to the agricultural sector and healthcare services will likely keep demand steady but not frantic. Investors might find opportunities in the rental market due to the strong rent-to-price ratio disparity, but speculative buying will likely face headwinds. Overall, the Yakima housing market is expected to mature with modest, single-digit appreciation, making it a stable but not high-growth environment through 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+4.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.2%
Months Supply 4.8
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 35%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Yakima.

Total ROI
-107%
on $79,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$84,697
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,100
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY2100kY3111kY4122kY5134k
Appreciation
$36,005
Cash Flow
-$120,702
Final Equity
$133,523

* Estimates based on 1.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Yakima

Property

Purchase Price$394,999
Monthly Rent$997
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,899
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,792/ year
-28.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$997
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,997
โˆ’ Property Tax$395
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$329
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$50
= Net Cash Flow-$1,899

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$79,000
Loan Amount
$315,999
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,896
Gross Yield
3.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026