Providence
Investment Analysis

Providence, RI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
49
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.9%
P/R Ratio
20.5x
YoY Growth
+1.0%
Median Home Price
$577,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,398/mo
Median Income
$65,206
Population
190,791

Investment Breakdown

39
Value Score
60
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
49
Afford Score

Providence has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.5x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,398
Annual Gross $16,776

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$722
Insurance (~0.5%) -$241
Maintenance (~1%) -$481
Est. Net Cash Flow -$46/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Providence Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$418K2027$457Kโ–ฒ 9.4%2028$483Kโ–ฒ 15.5%20232024Now
$507K$334K
Current
$578K
2026
Projected
$457K
โ†‘ 9.4% by 2027
Projected
$483K
โ†‘ 15.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Providence housing market forecast through 2028, the current data paints a picture of a market that is stabilizing after a period of rapid appreciation. The 5-year price change of 46.3% is significant, yet the recent yearly growth has cooled to just 1.5%, indicating a shift toward equilibrium. With a median home price of $418,039 and a price-to-rent ratio of 22.5xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the financial scales currently tip in favor of renting. This dynamic, combined with a swift average of 29 days on the market, suggests that while demand hasn't vanished, buyers are becoming more discerning and price-sensitive in the face of broader affordability challenges.

This leads directly to the central question on many minds: will Providence home prices drop? While a significant crash seems unlikely given the area's strong fundamentals and low vacancy rates, the era of double-digit growth appears to be over. The local economy, anchored by institutions like Brown University and a growing healthcare sector, continues to provide a stable employment base that supports housing demand. However, affordability constraints will likely cap appreciation. For those looking at Providence real estate Providence 2027, the outlook points toward modest, single-digit gains, potentially in the 2-4% range annually, as the market digests recent gains. The "A" risk grade and "Market Temperature" score of 66/100 underscore a stable, albeit less frenzied, environment.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+7.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.6%

Healthcare

82
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.7%
Months Supply 2.8
Price Drops 16%
Gone in 2 Wks 45%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Providence.

Total ROI
-129%
on $115,500 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$149,526
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,128
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1126kY2137kY3149kY4161kY5173k
Appreciation
$30,661
Cash Flow
-$180,188
Final Equity
$173,235

* Estimates based on 1.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Providence

Property

Purchase Price$577,500
Monthly Rent$1,398
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,776
Monthly Cash Flow
-$33,310/ year
-28.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,398
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,920
โˆ’ Property Tax$578
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$481
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$70
= Net Cash Flow-$2,776

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$115,500
Loan Amount
$462,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,174
Gross Yield
2.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026