Richmond
Investment Analysis

Richmond, CA
Housing Market Screening

City-level home-price and one-bedroom-rent references with transparent methodology and limitations.

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City-level screening

23.0x

Home price / annualized 1BR rent

Gross annual 1BR-rent reference
4.4%
Recorded YoY field
-6.1%

Not cap rate, ROI, valuation or buy-versus-rent advice. City fields may reflect different source years.

Median Home Price
$635,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,304/mo
Median Income
$89,052
Population
114,104

Housing Screening Context

Richmond has a computed screening multiple of 23.0x and a gross annual 1BR-rent reference of 4.4%.

These values compare separate city-level fields, not one matched property. They exclude financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, transaction costs and tenure horizon.

Recorded year-over-year price change: -6.1%. Source period and forecast assumptions should be reviewed before scenario use.

Read the transparent methodology or open the Housing Research Hub.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,304
Annual Gross $27,648

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$794
Insurance (~0.5%) -$265
Maintenance (~1%) -$529
Est. Net Cash Flow $717/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Richmond Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“‰ Downward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$613K2027$607Kโ–ผ 0.9%2028$590Kโ–ผ 3.6%20232024Now
$707K$561K
Current
$635K
2026
Projected
$607K
โ†“ 0.9% by 2027
Projected
$590K
โ†“ 3.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:-1.7%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.64
โ–ผ

The Richmond housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth or decline. After a recent YoY Price Change of -5.6%, the market is cooling from its pandemic-era highs, with the current Median Home Price at $586,072. This correction, however, is occurring against a backdrop of constrained supply and ongoing demand from buyers priced out of more expensive Bay Area locales. The Days on Market of 37 indicates that well-priced homes still move relatively quickly, preventing a steep inventory buildup. While the 5-Year Price Change of just 0.2% highlights a period of stagnation, the local economy, bolstered by the Rosie the Riveter WWII Home Front National Historical Park and expanding waterfront developments, provides a foundational support that may limit further losses.

Prospective buyers will naturally ask, will Richmond home prices drop further in the near term? The current Price-to-Rent Ratio of 18.8x, slightly above the national average, suggests that buying remains a significant financial commitment compared to renting, which could temper demand from cost-sensitive households. However, the Market Temperature of 64/100 and a Risk Grade of B+ signal a relatively balanced environment rather than a crashing one. Affordability initiatives and the cityโ€™s strategic position along the I-80 corridor continue to attract investment, though interest rate sensitivity remains a key variable. For those analyzing Richmond real estate Richmond 2027, the forecast points toward modest appreciation as the market digests recent corrections and aligns more closely with broader regional trends.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.8%
5yr CAGR
-1.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 105.6%
Months Supply 2.1
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 36%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Model an editable scenario

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Richmond.

Total ROI
-118%
on $127,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$150,326
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,710
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1132kY2138kY3144kY4150kY5157k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$150,326
Final Equity
$156,770

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Scenario Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Cash-Flow Scenario

Pre-filled for Richmond

Property

Purchase Price$635,000
Monthly Rent$2,304
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,311
Modeled Monthly Cash Flow
-$27,735/ year
-21.8%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,304
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,211
โˆ’ Property Tax$635
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$529
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$115
= Net Cash Flow-$2,311

Scenario Summary

Down Payment
$127,000
Loan Amount
$508,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,615
Gross Yield
4.4%

Investor Toolkit

Research Richmond before you invest

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: July 2026