Rogers
Investment Analysis

Rogers, AR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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46
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.6%
Gross Yield
2.7%
P/R Ratio
27.7x
YoY Growth
+3.6%
Median Home Price
$408,350
Average Rent (1BR)
$924/mo
Median Income
$84,093
Population
74,047

Investment Breakdown

17
Value Score
86
Growth Score
33
Safety Score
59
Afford Score

Rogers has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.7x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.6% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $924
Annual Gross $11,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$510
Insurance (~0.5%) -$170
Maintenance (~1%) -$340
Est. Net Cash Flow -$97/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Rogers Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$377K2027$414Kโ–ฒ 9.8%2028$438Kโ–ฒ 16.1%20232024Now
$460K$313K
Current
$408K
2026
Projected
$414K
โ†‘ 9.8% by 2027
Projected
$438K
โ†‘ 16.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+9.0%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.91
โ–ผ

The Rogers housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a transition from the explosive growth of the past five years to a period of stabilization. While the 5-year price change of 56.3% created significant equity, the current annual appreciation has moderated to 3.0%, signaling a cooling phase. The market temperature sits at a balanced 60/100, indicating neither a frantic sellerโ€™s market nor a buyerโ€™s advantage. A key consideration for potential buyers is the high price-to-rent ratio of 30.8x, which is well above the national average of 18x, making the financial case for renting stronger in the short term compared to purchasing.

For those asking will Rogers home prices drop, the outlook points toward stabilization rather than a sharp decline. The strong risk grade of A and a relatively swift 35 days on market suggest underlying demand remains healthy, supported by Rogers' proximity to the economic engines of Northwest Arkansas. However, affordability is becoming a genuine constraint. With the median rent at $924/mo and the median home price at $377,452, the gap between owning and renting is significant. As we look toward Rogers real estate Rogers 2027, the market will likely be influenced by interest rate movements and local job growth in the retail and tech sectors.

Overall, the projected appreciation for 2026-2028 is expected to align closer to historical norms rather than the 9.2% CAGR seen over the last five years. The "RENT" verdict is primarily driven by the current price-to-rent ratio, suggesting that purchasing may not build wealth as quickly as alternative investments in the immediate future. While the areaโ€™s economic fundamentals remain solid, the era of double-digit annual gains appears to be over. Investors and homeowners should anticipate modest, sustainable growth, with the market favoring those who prioritize long-term holding power over short-term speculative flips.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+9%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

65
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 96.4%
Months Supply 4.4
Price Drops 22%
Gone in 2 Wks 33%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Rogers.

Total ROI
-65%
on $81,670 invested
Annual ROI
-19.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$53,384
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,273
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1100kY2118kY3138kY4158kY5179k
Appreciation
$78,049
Cash Flow
-$131,433
Final Equity
$178,863

* Estimates based on 3.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Rogers

Property

Purchase Price$408,350
Monthly Rent$924
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,061
Monthly Cash Flow
-$24,728/ year
-30.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$924
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,065
โˆ’ Property Tax$408
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$340
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$2,061

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$81,670
Loan Amount
$326,680
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,985
Gross Yield
2.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026