Iowa City
Investment Analysis

Iowa City, IA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
61
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.5%
Gross Yield
4.1%
P/R Ratio
22.2x
YoY Growth
+4.6%
Median Home Price
$261,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$902/mo
Median Income
$50,135
Population
75,671

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
96
Growth Score
70
Safety Score
58
Afford Score

Iowa City has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.2x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.6% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $902
Annual Gross $10,824

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$326
Insurance (~0.5%) -$109
Maintenance (~1%) -$218
Est. Net Cash Flow $250/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Iowa City Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$289K2027$301Kโ–ฒ 4.2%2028$313Kโ–ฒ 8.3%20232024Now
$329K$245K
Current
$261K
2026
Projected
$301K
โ†‘ 4.2% by 2027
Projected
$313K
โ†‘ 8.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

The current Iowa City housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth through 2028. With a median home price of $288,989 and a price-to-rent ratio of 24.3xโ€”significantly above the national average of 18xโ€”the market is stretched. This affordability gap, coupled with a 5-year price change of 28.8%, points to a ceiling on appreciation. The University of Iowa remains the economic anchor, but with limited wage growth in the broader service sector, the ceiling for buyer demand is evident. Local factors like steady university enrollment and healthcare sector stability will prevent a crash, but the high ratio suggests that for those asking "will Iowa City home prices drop," a modest correction or price stagnation is more likely than a continued steep climb.

For investors, the data strongly supports the "RENT" verdict. The median rent of $902/month is low relative to the home price, making cash flow difficult. A 71-day average on market indicates a cooling pace compared to the frenetic speed of previous years, and the market temperature score of 54/100 reflects this balanced shift. While the risk grade of A- signals a stable long-term hold, the 5-year CAGR of 5.1% is unlikely to be maintained at that pace given current affordability constraints. For those looking at Iowa City real estate Iowa City 2027, the outlook is neutral; appreciation will likely track closely with inflation rather than outpace it.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.9%

Healthcare

76
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.6%
Months Supply 4.8
Price Drops 12%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Iowa City.

Total ROI
2%
on $52,200 invested
Annual ROI
0.3%
compounded
Total Return
$908
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,157
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y166kY281kY397kY4113kY5130k
Appreciation
$65,500
Cash Flow
-$64,593
Final Equity
$129,936

* Estimates based on 4.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Iowa City

Property

Purchase Price$261,000
Monthly Rent$902
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,066
Monthly Cash Flow
-$12,796/ year
-24.5%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$902
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,320
โˆ’ Property Tax$261
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$218
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$45
= Net Cash Flow-$1,066

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$52,200
Loan Amount
$208,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,968
Gross Yield
4.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026