Investment Breakdown
Scranton has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.0x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.
The estimated cap rate of 3.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.
Year-over-year price growth of +4.8% indicates stable market conditions.
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Scranton Price Forecast 2026โ2028
For anyone asking "will Scranton home prices drop" in the near term, the current data suggests a stable glide path rather than a correction. The median home price of $196,150 remains accessible compared to national benchmarks, supported by a price-to-rent ratio of 17.3x that sits just below the national avg of 18x. This indicates buying is still a rational financial choice versus renting. With days on market at 23, demand is steady but not feverish, and the market temperature of 68/100 points to a balanced environment. The 3.2% YoY price change reflects a healthy deceleration from the 5-year CAGR of 8.2%, signaling a market maturing out of its rapid growth phase.
Looking at the Scranton housing market forecast through 2026-2028, I expect appreciation to moderate to a 2-4% annual range as affordability constraints tighten. The local economy, anchored by healthcare and education at institutions like Geisinger and the University of Scranton, provides a stable employment floor, while the city's relative affordability continues to attract buyers priced out of larger metros. However, the risk grade of A and a 5-year price change of 49.0% suggest the easy gains have been realized. For those analyzing "Scranton real estate Scranton 2027," the neutral verdict makes sense: inventory will likely remain tight given the low median rent of $854/mo, which keeps rental demand high and supports prices. The market won't boom, but a bust is equally unlikely.
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Healthcare
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* Estimates based on 4.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Investment Summary
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: March 2026