Somerville
Investment Analysis

Somerville, MA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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42
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.6%
Gross Yield
2.7%
P/R Ratio
29.1x
YoY Growth
+0.8%
Median Home Price
$905,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,064/mo
Median Income
$126,619
Population
80,407

Investment Breakdown

13
Value Score
58
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
38
Afford Score

Somerville has a price-to-rent ratio of 29.1x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,064
Annual Gross $24,768

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,131
Insurance (~0.5%) -$377
Maintenance (~1%) -$754
Est. Net Cash Flow -$199/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Somerville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$910K2027$928Kโ–ฒ 2.0%2028$945Kโ–ฒ 3.8%20232024Now
$992K$797K
Current
$905K
2026
Projected
$928K
โ†‘ 2.0% by 2027
Projected
$945K
โ†‘ 3.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+2.6%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.67
โ–ผ

Our Somerville housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $910,192 has seen a significant slowdown, with a YoY price change of just 0.5%. This cooling is a direct response to affordability constraints, as the price-to-rent ratio sits at a stretched 32.7x, far above the national average. With a 5-year CAGR of 2.6%, the market is reverting to a more sustainable pace. For potential buyers asking "will Somerville home prices drop," the data points to a plateau rather than a correction, supported by a strong Risk Grade: A- and a market temperature of 63/100, indicating moderate, healthy activity.

The persistent affordability gap strongly supports the "RENT" verdict in the short term, as carrying costs for ownership remain high compared to the median rent of $2,064/mo. However, Somerville's fundamentals remain robust. Its proximity to Boston and a resilient local economy centered on education and tech continue to provide a floor for demand. The 5-year price range of $799,293 โ€“ $910,193 demonstrates a consistent valuation floor. While days on market at 40 suggest homes are moving steadily, buyers are becoming more discerning. This dynamic will likely characterize the Somerville real estate Somerville 2027 landscape, where well-priced properties in desirable neighborhoods will still command attention, but speculative bidding wars will subside. Ultimately, the outlook is one of measured equilibrium, balancing high demand with the practical limits of buyer purchasing power.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+2.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

89
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 2.4
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 44%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Somerville.

Total ROI
-140%
on $181,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$253,960
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$5,022
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1196kY2211kY3226kY4243kY5260k
Appreciation
$36,317
Cash Flow
-$290,277
Final Equity
$259,744

* Estimates based on 0.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Somerville

Property

Purchase Price$905,000
Monthly Rent$2,064
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$4,400
Monthly Cash Flow
-$52,794/ year
-29.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,064
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$4,576
โˆ’ Property Tax$905
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$754
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$103
= Net Cash Flow-$4,400

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$181,000
Loan Amount
$724,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$6,464
Gross Yield
2.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026